8R : Sunday Million bubble - KQ UTG with <1BB

[TimberBee]

I'm 33/45. 41 places pay ticket to Sunday Million. There are many stacks with &lt;1BB, but a lot of them are at my table... Should I call AI here with KQo?

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Tournament
Blinds: t6000/t12000
(Ante: t600)
9 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
Hero: t12404
UTG+1: t640
MP1: t40323
MP2: t9305
MP3: t6600
CO: t39760
Button: t3950
SB: t32902
BB: t26185

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is UTG with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Hero sighs...

[stragf]

Push.

[lorddoc]

Clear fold... and its not even close!
With 5 tables left 2-3 people will bust this round. Even if you bust next round you might still get the seat because your stack is quite big. You might even get a walk next round because sb and bb have no reason to play any more hands.

So if you fold I would say you are at least 80% to win the seat. If you call maybe 50% max.

[TimberBee]

which is it? Push or fold?

[Solitare]

[ QUOTE ]
So if you fold I would say you are at least 80% to win the seat. If you call maybe 50% max.

[/ QUOTE ]
I'm leaning this way also. But if I was in this situation I would act a late as I possibly could. During that time I would be opening up all the other tables to get an idea of how many people would be put all-in this round and the next.

If I saw that a couple of people were in the process of losing this round, and that some stacks smaller than mine would also be all-in next hand, I'd fold.

However, if a bunch of the hands were already finished with no one going out, and nothing but big stacks were going to occupy the big blind next hand, I'd take my chances with this hand.

I think there is a big swing possible in this hand depending one the precise situation the other small stacks are in at all of the tables.

This hand is also a great example of why you should not waste your time clock delaying in sats. Sometimes you run into a situation where you need that time to see what is going on at the other tables and force other small stacks to make decisions before you do.

[betgo]

I would "push". You are better off playing this hand with a good hand than being put allin with a random hand next hand.

[yad]

i am confused...you have 12404, and the blinds are 6000/12000, so you're going to bust in 2 more hands. unlikely that 4 people will bust next hand -- even if 6 or 7 of them are AI, a few will wind up winning. so i think you have to push here.

[hamnegger]

yessssssssssssssssssssssss

[lorddoc]

Like I said: You might even get a walk next hand. Or you win with your random hand. Or still win the seat even if you lose the hand. People are dropping like flies in this sats.