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#1
05-10-2007, 04:55 PM
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The Bax Limit Theorem
I was going through Bluff magazine's database of tournament results, and happened to check out the stats for Johnny Bax on Stars. The guy is obviously one of the top online players, and his overall ROI backs this up. The wierd thing is that his performance isn't consistent over all buy-in levels. He is killing the game at $100 BIs and under, but above that he is leaking like a sieve. This is not some sample size issue, this is over 400 tourneys at those levels since 1/1/06. I don't believe it has anything to do with field size either, since he is playing all sorts of field sizes at every level.
The question is, why does he seem to reach his "limit" at $150+ buy ins? 
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#2
05-10-2007, 04:57 PM
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Re: The Bax Limit Theorem
Still could be a sample size issue. Especially if you are using ROI as your guide. One sunday million win and I think he will be well into the black numbers for buy-ins over $150.
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#3
05-10-2007, 05:00 PM
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Re: The Bax Limit Theorem
I'm not saying that this is why his results are like that, as there's obviously a ton of variance even with that many tourneys, but um... there's higher skill level at higher buyins? If you don't have higher roi at $10 rebuys than $100 rebuys, you need a bigger sample size.
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#5
05-10-2007, 05:03 PM
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Re: The Bax Limit Theorem
I played next to a higher-buyin tournament player at TurningStone today.
He was about 50 years old and is an experienced high-buyin expert. He told me his secret was ALWAYS folding the first hand of a new level. In fact, he stressed that if an opponent went allin with KK and showed him the first hand of a $1K tournament, he would gladly fold AA. I mean, whats best case scenario? You double up... who cares! LOL EXPERTS
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#6
05-10-2007, 06:36 PM
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Re: The Bax Limit Theorem
[ QUOTE ]
I played next to a higher-buyin tournament player at TurningStone today. He was about 50 years old and is an experienced high-buyin expert. He told me his secret was ALWAYS folding the first hand of a new level. In fact, he stressed that if an opponent went allin with KK and showed him the first hand of a $1K tournament, he would gladly fold AA. I mean, whats best case scenario? You double up... who cares! LOL EXPERTS [/ QUOTE ] If you can somehow supply a more detailed description of this guy I would be soooooooooooo grateful.
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#7
05-10-2007, 07:13 PM
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Re: The Bax Limit Theorem
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I played next to a higher-buyin tournament player at TurningStone today. He was about 50 years old and is an experienced high-buyin expert. He told me his secret was ALWAYS folding the first hand of a new level. In fact, he stressed that if an opponent went allin with KK and showed him the first hand of a $1K tournament, he would gladly fold AA. I mean, whats best case scenario? You double up... who cares! LOL EXPERTS [/ QUOTE ] If you can somehow supply a more detailed description of this guy I would be soooooooooooo grateful. [/ QUOTE ] Some older guy sitting on my left who was telling me how some young kid made a horrible call when he shoved 77 and the young kid called with AK. I said that if the kid folded AK in the situation, it would be like throwing away money, he didnt get it. He also advocated not playing AA the first hand of each level.
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#8
05-11-2007, 02:39 PM
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Re: The Bax Limit Theorem
[ QUOTE ]
In fact, he stressed that if an opponent went allin with KK and showed him the first hand of a $1K tournament, he would gladly fold AA. [/ QUOTE ] I like the part about the other guy showing him KK. It be a tougher decision if the guy shoved on his AA but didn't tell him what he had.
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#9
05-11-2007, 04:05 PM
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Re: The Bax Limit Theorem
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] In fact, he stressed that if an opponent went allin with KK and showed him the first hand of a $1K tournament, he would gladly fold AA. [/ QUOTE ] I like the part about the other guy showing him KK. It be a tougher decision if the guy shoved on his AA but didn't tell him what he had. [/ QUOTE ] [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]
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#10
05-12-2007, 01:12 AM
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Re: The Bax Limit Theorem
[ QUOTE ]
I played next to a higher-buyin tournament player at TurningStone today. He was about 50 years old and is an experienced high-buyin expert. He told me his secret was ALWAYS folding the first hand of a new level. In fact, he stressed that if an opponent went allin with KK and showed him the first hand of a $1K tournament, he would gladly fold AA. I mean, whats best case scenario? You double up... who cares! LOL EXPERTS [/ QUOTE ] Has to be Pete 'thebeat' Giordano no?
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