Delayed turn contibet bluff midway through Stars 20k guarenteed

[WuTank]

My thought process was liek this:
Our Turn raise polarizes our Range extreme.
This raise is like always a monster or air.
The 2 shortstacks in this hand have 95% nothing at all.Their stack is really small and they would shove the turn when they have a J or a 6.
So it comes all down against he Midstack who bets 2k here.
The pot is like 5k so we need to take this pot down in like 50% of all cases.
And I think here is the part where it comes together:
The midstack still has a great stack when folds, also he wont risk his whole stack against a Bigstack who is at this table for the first hand with a bare Jack here.
Thats why I think the % of the hands he bets turn with is smaller than 50%.
He will likely fold QJ-.
Also its still very possible that he tries to steal the pot since the two shorties have never a hand here, and we showed weakness on the turn, so I really think this play is good.
I think Exactly the opposite of what you are saying is true.
The fact that this guy has no read, and has a rather big stack to lose makes this play more effective than with reads.

[Dunkman]

PF and turn are spew. They're just spew...you decided to represent a different hand on the turn that the one you represented on the flop by checking...you better hope your opponent is really stupid.

[niceh4nd]

a7 should be in the muck preflop imo