Good spot for thin value betting? NL25

[NextMyth]

I like your analysis on the hand but I think its pretty close between check behind and bet $3-3.5.
One reason is I don't think we should discount a weak ace here at all. I see a lot of weak players play it this way and c/c the river.

[Red Shell]

value bettings fine here vs the right type of player. i dont agree with a 1/2 pot+ bet, it needs to be much smaller imo. somwhere between 1/3 - 2/5's

[Gullanian]

I bet $2 and watch him call with a jack

[Geordie Ramone]

I dont know about this, an ace isnt folding, there are now two overs to a smaller pair and the small bet looks so weak you are begging to be raised off the pot.

I might be missing value, bur unless you have villain pegged as calling down with under pairs I would just check behind

[HappyElephant]

i check because the Q makes it harder for him to call with a J and because he never folds his ace no kicker

[Jailblazers]

Does anybody think that a v-bet of $4.50 is good here? My hand looks like a bluff that villain might want to make a hero call with rather than a raise to "get me off my hand."

Am I incorrect to assume that most villains at this level call here with 3rd pair?