Breakeven Month = You Are Not Good At Poker

[IronFly]

I see some NL(0.10) in there....

good post HP.

[TheWorstPlayer]

Actually 100K hands more to go. I'm glad you accepted my bet, though. I'm giving 1.0000000000001:1 on 5K. I have data mining, but you should also keep track of your own results.

[HP]

^^^ UB uncapped .05-.10 ftw?

edit: obv not upon a bit of further thought

[raze]

Related note - someone had a great thread similar to this. It showed simulated long-term graphs for a variety of winrates. Can someone please please hook up the link

[HP]

[ QUOTE ]
Thank you! I've been wondering what the integral of 1/x^2 from negative infinity to infinity looked like!

[/ QUOTE ]

It don't look like anything bro, it's undefined

[Fonkey123]

Swings are going to be A LOT higher for a 2bb/100 or 3bb/100 winner. A break even month of 20k hands probably isn't uncommon at all.

[Fonkey123]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Thank you! I've been wondering what the integral of 1/x^2 from negative infinity to infinity looked like!

[/ QUOTE ]

It don't look like anything bro, it's undefined

[/ QUOTE ]

And obv lol.

[jmxthievez]

ahhahaha show me some hand histories, im obv up for this month

[HP]

[ QUOTE ]
ahhahaha show me some hand histories, im obv up for this month

[/ QUOTE ]

This was the hand referred to in the graph:

SB <font color="#A500AF">(assface)</font> ($1675.65)
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HP ($887.60)
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Preflop: Hero is MP with 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">HP raises to $14</font>, Button calls $14, <font color="#CC3333">SB <font color="#A500AF">(assface)</font> raises to $60</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, HP calls $46, Button folds.

Flop: ($138) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">assface bets $120</font>, HP calls $120.

Turn: ($378) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
assface checks, <font color="#CC3333">HP bets $250</font>, assface calls $250.

River: ($878) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
assface checks, <font color="#CC3333">HP bets $457.6 (All-In)</font>, assface calls $457.60.

Final Pot: $1793.20

assface has A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (one pair, aces).
HP has 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (one pair, fives).



And a few other notables:



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Button <font color="#A500AF">(assface)</font> ($447.60)
HP ($462.40)
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Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button <font color="#A500AF">(assface)</font> raises to $14</font>, <font color="#CC3333">HP raises to $46</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Button <font color="#A500AF">(assface)</font> calls $32.

Flop: ($96) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">HP bets $75</font>, assface calls $75.

Turn: ($246) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
HP checks, assface checks.

River: ($246) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">HP bets $246</font>, <font color="#CC3333">assface raises to $326.6 (All-In)</font>, HP calls $80.60.

Final Pot: $899.20

assface has T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (two pair, tens and nines).
HP has A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (one pair, aces).
Outcome: assface wins $899.20.



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MP <font color="#A500AF">(assface)</font> ($847.30)
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HP ($506.50)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP <font color="#A500AF">(assface)</font> raises to $14</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls $12, <font color="#CC3333">HP raises to $56</font>, MP <font color="#A500AF">(assface)</font> calls $42, SB folds.

Flop: ($126) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">HP bets $100</font>, assface calls $100.

Turn: ($326) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
HP checks, assface checks.

River: ($326) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">HP bets $175</font>, <font color="#CC3333">assface raises to $691.3 (All-In)</font>, HP calls $175.50 (All-In).

Final Pot: $1027

HP has Jh[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (full house, jacks full of kings).
assface has Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (full house, kings full of queens).
Outcome: assface wins $1027

[Pog0]

[ QUOTE ]
uh...i'll give odds on prop bets against ANYONE that they will not win at 6.5ptbb/100 at ANY stakes above NL100 over the next 100K hands. LOL.

[/ QUOTE ]

I would be mildly depressed if I only ran at 6.5 ptbb/100 over my next 100k hands.

OP, this 'standard deviation' stat that you use, that you probably took from poker tracker, means absolutely nothing.