#1
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PokerLuckometer
Does anyone else see bad calculations from the program?
I have "Saw Flops" = 2384 "Flop A Set" = 310 310/2384= 0.130036 or 13% Super System By: Doyle Brunson says you should flop a set with the odds of "15 to 2" or 2/15 = .1333334 or 13.3% For some reason the distribution for me flopping a set is way off with a expected outcome of around 280. That just isn't right. |
#2
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Re: PokerLuckometer
Odds of flopping a set were 2/17, not?
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#3
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Re: PokerLuckometer
[ QUOTE ]
Odds of flopping a set were 2/17, not? [/ QUOTE ] p.568 Table XXV, Super System |
#4
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Re: PokerLuckometer
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#5
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Re: PokerLuckometer
[ QUOTE ]
2/17 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Odds [/ QUOTE ] Flopping a set or better (with a pocket pair) - 7.5/1 (11.8%) ********************************* A set - 8.51/1 (11.76%) ODDS: 8.51 to 1. CHANCES: 1 in 9.51. PERCENT: 11.76%. MATH: 1-[(48/50)*(47/49)*(46/48)] EXPLANATION: Sometimes it is easier to calculate the odds of the opposite. Here I am going to calculate the odds of NOT flopping a set and subtract it from one. To calculate the odds of not flopping a set all the cards on the flop can't have the same rank as your pocket pair. For the first card there are 48 out of 50 cards that won't hit your set. For the second card there are 47 out of 49 cards and for the third card there are 46 out of 48 cards that won't hit your set. http://www.homepokergames.com/odds.php |
#6
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Re: PokerLuckometer
then on page 579 7.51 to 1
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#7
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Re: PokerLuckometer
aww.. I was doing 1/7.51 not 1/8.51 sorry
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#8
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Re: PokerLuckometer
SO this just works on ring games at the moment? I look forward to the all in calcs and possibly tourney information.
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#9
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Re: PokerLuckometer
is this program any good? looks to be okay but the website seems kinda shady.
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