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  #1  
Old 10-28-2007, 12:25 PM
cheer cheer is offline
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Default PokerLuckometer

Does anyone else see bad calculations from the program?
I have "Saw Flops" = 2384 "Flop A Set" = 310

310/2384= 0.130036
or 13%

Super System By: Doyle Brunson says you should flop a set with the odds of "15 to 2" or 2/15 = .1333334 or 13.3%

For some reason the distribution for me flopping a set is way off with a expected outcome of around 280. That just isn't right.

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  #2  
Old 10-28-2007, 01:07 PM
Noodles. Noodles. is offline
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Default Re: PokerLuckometer

Odds of flopping a set were 2/17, not?
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  #3  
Old 10-28-2007, 02:17 PM
cheer cheer is offline
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Default Re: PokerLuckometer

[ QUOTE ]
Odds of flopping a set were 2/17, not?

[/ QUOTE ]

p.568 Table XXV, Super System
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  #4  
Old 10-28-2007, 02:46 PM
yli yli is offline
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Default Re: PokerLuckometer

2/17

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Odds
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  #5  
Old 10-28-2007, 02:52 PM
fozzy71 fozzy71 is offline
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Default Re: PokerLuckometer

[ QUOTE ]
2/17

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Odds

[/ QUOTE ]

Flopping a set or better (with a pocket pair) - 7.5/1 (11.8%)

*********************************

A set - 8.51/1 (11.76%)
ODDS: 8.51 to 1. CHANCES: 1 in 9.51. PERCENT: 11.76%.
MATH: 1-[(48/50)*(47/49)*(46/48)]
EXPLANATION: Sometimes it is easier to calculate the odds of the opposite. Here I am going to calculate the odds of NOT flopping a set and subtract it from one. To calculate the odds of not flopping a set all the cards on the flop can't have the same rank as your pocket pair. For the first card there are 48 out of 50 cards that won't hit your set. For the second card there are 47 out of 49 cards and for the third card there are 46 out of 48 cards that won't hit your set.



http://www.homepokergames.com/odds.php
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  #6  
Old 10-28-2007, 02:58 PM
cheer cheer is offline
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Default Re: PokerLuckometer

then on page 579 7.51 to 1
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  #7  
Old 10-28-2007, 03:01 PM
cheer cheer is offline
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Default Re: PokerLuckometer

aww.. I was doing 1/7.51 not 1/8.51 sorry
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  #8  
Old 10-29-2007, 03:36 PM
willwonka willwonka is offline
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Default Re: PokerLuckometer

SO this just works on ring games at the moment? I look forward to the all in calcs and possibly tourney information.
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  #9  
Old 10-29-2007, 05:09 PM
fluorescenthippo fluorescenthippo is offline
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Default Re: PokerLuckometer

is this program any good? looks to be okay but the website seems kinda shady.
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