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#1
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Awful spot with AJ late
$20 Stars MTT, just over 100 left out of 900 starting. I'm about average in chips. Villain has been aggressive with his big stack.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t800 (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) Hero (t15121) MP2 (t4180) CO (t4636) Button (t25706) SB (t26097) BB (t17218) UTG (t8884) UTG+1 (t12806) Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t2400</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to t4647</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls t2247. Flop: (t9594) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets t5400</font>, Hero ??? I thought about this for a long time. The reraise from the SB seems very strong. Normally, I don't put him on much that I can beat. There's also a chance he may be making a play on me here, because I haven't been that active recently, thanks to terrible cards and a reasonably active table. Raise all-in or fold? |
#2
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Re: Awful spot with AJ late
push/fold preflop, usually fold, and he has to be pretty maniacal to have a hand worse than yours after the flop. id probably fold.
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#3
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Re: Awful spot with AJ late
Push/fold with 19 BB? That seems like overkill.
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#4
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Re: Awful spot with AJ late
I think it's an easy fold on the flop unless you have any specific reads otherwise
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#5
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Re: Awful spot with AJ late
push/fold after the reraise
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#6
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Re: Awful spot with AJ late
OK, thanks.
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#7
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Re: Awful spot with AJ late
PREFLOP
At 400/800/50, you have about 19BBs in your stack, and an M of about 9. You open-raise 3x after two folds at an 8-handed table, and you’re min-reraised by the small blind. Reasons To Fold: · If you fold, you still have about 16BBs which is definitely enough to get back in the tournament. · The small blind is showing real strength by reraising BARELY anything, out of position, over an early position raiser. · You’re calling off 20% of your stack with a likely dominated hand without any maneuverability postflop. When you call, you have just a little over a pot-sized bet left in your stack. · Your hand isn’t that strong in this situation. Especially when you lower the chance that he’s bluffing because a) you have a tight table image and haven’t been active recently b) you raised from EP, so he believes you’re usually strong there Reasons to Call: * You’re getting 3.3-to-1 immediately. Once he reraises, IMO, you have a push/fold decision. You don’t want to invest 30% of your stack preflop just to try to spike a pair on the flop, especially when your Jack or your Ace might not be good. If you put him in now, you’ll be getting 1.5-to-1 for your money, but if he calls, you are likely to be over a 3-to-2 dog. I don’t think he’s bluffing often enough in a $20 MTT to justify a move over the top. Despite the good odds preflop after his little minraise, I would still fold. POSTFLOP The pot contains 9594, and villain bets 5400 into it, which is about ½ of your stack. You’re getting 2.7-to-1, and you have middle pair. However, you will be playing for your whole stack, so your actual odds will be ~ 2-to-1. If you fold, you still have 14BBs and an M of 7 – not quite dead. If you think his preflop range is super-tight (which it likely is, given the action), then you can fold. If you think he would min-raise you preflop with 77-TT and AQ, then you are getting the right price to call, but he would probably jam with those hands preflop rather than let you see a flop. |
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