What will OSU-Fla spread be?

NajdorfDefense · #1 12-03-2006, 06:12 PM

I guess 7-7.5 or so. Higher/Lower?

Pavan · #2 12-03-2006, 06:13 PM

I think slightly lower 5-6. If its over 7, Ill jump on it early

MacGuyV · #3 12-03-2006, 06:23 PM

They seem to be frequently inflated for championship games. I'd say 8-9.

MyTurn2Raise · #4 12-03-2006, 06:26 PM

the coaching edge in this game is huge

Thremp · #5 12-03-2006, 06:32 PM

[ QUOTE ]
the coaching edge in this game is huge

[/ QUOTE ]

Meyer is a moran and Tressel does a passable job?

MyTurn2Raise · #6 12-03-2006, 07:12 PM

Tressel is great at gameplans and adjustments. His main flaw is getting too conservative.

Meyer comes up with great trickeration, but his gameplan is spotty at best on the offensive ends. Meyer's defense usually does a really good job at styming what the other team wants to do.

I give a few points toward Tressel.

NajdorfDefense · #7 12-03-2006, 07:32 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Meyer comes up with great trickeration, but his gameplan is spotty at best on the offensive ends.
I give a few points toward Tressel.

[/ QUOTE ]

Wait, Meyer went 12-0 and won a BCS game at Utah in 2004, got screwed by the BCS, and is now 12-1 against the toughest sked in the country in the SEC, and is spotty on O? Your regional bias is showing, both are great coaches.

These spread are always too high, last 4 years the dog has won right? OSU [12.5], LSU, USC [1], Texas was as high as 7.5-8.

I can't see this line much below 7, but maybe Fla has enough respect for it to open around 6.

MyTurn2Raise · #8 12-03-2006, 07:38 PM

[ QUOTE ]

Wait, Meyer went 12-0 and won a BCS game at Utah in 2004, got screwed by the BCS, and is now 12-1 against the toughest sked in the country in the SEC, and is spotty on O? Your regional bias is showing, both are great coaches.

[/ QUOTE ]

both are good, but the edge is Tressel

yesterday's gamecast highlighted the problems....Florida's personnel doesn't really match Meyer's system and he hasn't shown the flexibility of a Jim Tressel to change his system to match his players and opponent weaknesses. Let's face it, using Leak to run a spread option is not a fit. That is why the emergence of Percy Harvin has been huge for Meyer. He helps the offense go like Urban wants it.

Compare what the Buckeyes did under a Krenzel/Clarett team to what they do these days. Tressel pwns.

Hilarious, when I picked Michigan to cover verse Ohio State, it was my anti-tOSU bias. Now, because I say Tressel is an edge to Meyer, it's my regional bias. I wonder what bias my big East>>big10 argument is.

MyTurn2Raise · #9 12-03-2006, 07:52 PM

looking at everything, I'll probably be on Florida

when is the best time to bet this?

I'm thinking the public will bet up tOSU; am I wrong?

I'm thinking
line opens...moves toward tOSU instantly
some stable period with gradual, small moves toward Florida
big move toward tOSU the few days before gameday
last second move back toward Florida

I'm going off the USC-Texas movement last year. Am I remembering correctly? Is this the applicable analogy?

NajdorfDefense · #10 12-03-2006, 07:55 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Wait, Meyer went 12-0 and won a BCS game at Utah in 2004, got screwed by the BCS, and is now 12-1 against the toughest sked in the country in the SEC, and is spotty on O? Your regional bias is showing, both are great coaches.

[/ QUOTE ]

both are good, but the edge is Tressel

Compare what the Buckeyes did under a Krenzel/Clarett team to what they do these days. Tressel pwns.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why the edge?

OSU went undefeated, after beating Purdue on a last-minute bomb, beat Miami [needing 5 turnovers and an alltime late horrid ref's call in OT to do so] and won their BCS game, but then so did Utah 2 years ago and won their BCS game [against an inferior opponent.]

OSU struggled to put NW away this year with vastly superior talent, does that mean NWerns 30-yr old coach is as good as Tressel?

You're making a circular argument here --- Tressel has won one, so he's a better coach. He won with Clarett, Gamble, Jenkins, Stepanovich, Jenkins, Grant, Allen, Peterson, Doss, Krenzel, Bentley, and several other NFL draftees. Do you think 4-pt come from behind wins over Purdue and Cinci and a
6-pt win over a 4 loss PSU team was that impressive with all that talent? Sounds like results-oriented thinking to me.

Barry Switzer has a couple SB rings, but I wouldn't call him a great coach. Both coaches in this matchup are very good, it'll come down to which players make the important plays on the field.