odds to make a hand = 4*(#of outs)

[lilliwaup]

I just found this on a poker website and wondered if it had any truth to it:

As a general rule of thumb, after you find the number of outs you have, multiply by 4 and you will get a close estimate to the percentage of hitting that hand from the Flop to the river, or multiply by 2 to get a percentage estimate from the Turn instead.

(from http://poker.oddschecker.com/poker-f...ure/hand-odds)

Seems like a nice formula but does it work?

[oliverm]

The reason this works (as a general rule of thumb) is that after the flop and turn there are 47 and 46 unseen cards.
i.e. ~50. i.e. approx half of 100.
if we have 3 outs then converting 3/47 to a loose percent we can just double it to 6/94 near enough to 6/100 = 6%. (to see only the turn)
for both river and turn, it is 3/47 + 3/46. doubled is 6/100 + 6/100 = 12/100 = 12%

[Banks2334]

I suggest reading the Beginers Forum. Tons of info on basics.

[lilliwaup]

thanks that makes perfect sense

[BruceZ]

[ QUOTE ]
I just found this on a poker website and wondered if it had any truth to it:

As a general rule of thumb, after you find the number of outs you have, multiply by 4 and you will get a close estimate to the percentage of hitting that hand from the Flop to the river, or multiply by 2 to get a percentage estimate from the Turn instead.

(from http://poker.oddschecker.com/poker-f...ure/hand-odds)

Seems like a nice formula but does it work?

[/ QUOTE ]

Here is a comparison to the exact values I did awhile back.