Standart Push?

mariods · #1 01-29-2007, 03:01 AM

bu: 10/7/1 /40hands

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG ($253.10)
Hero ($229)
Button ($197)
SB ($131.85)
BB ($277.15)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG calls $2, Hero raises to $8, Button raises to $28, 2 folds, UTG folds, Hero calls $20.

Flop: ($61) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $44, Hero raises to $201, Button calls $125 (All-In).

Turn: ($431) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($431) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players, 1 all-in)

Final Pot: $431

CappyAA · #2 01-29-2007, 03:05 AM

I fold this preflop. You barely have odds to call assuming you get it all in when you flop a set.

On the flop, it's a fold IMO. Villain almost always has AA-QQ here and is snap calling. The only hand you beat here is AK and he will never call this.

carrotsnake · #3 01-29-2007, 03:10 AM

Pre is a fold, post is a push. Cappy, the thing is against AA-QQ, you have around 40% equity, and if you account for the times he has AK and folds(some non-negligable %) its a slightly EV push. Also, if he EVER folds JJ or QQ, not necessarily happening, but ya never know, then your definately making money

willw9 · #4 01-29-2007, 03:15 AM

I definetely don't agree with flop being +EV. It is marginally -EV, at best imho.

As played, fold preflop, fold flop.

Acein8ter · #5 01-29-2007, 03:15 AM

You have an OESD at the flop, just call his bet since your this far in. Your OOP and he has a big overpair, either AA, KK, QQ.