Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > PL/NL Texas Hold'em > Micro Stakes

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-29-2007, 10:04 PM
bsball8806 bsball8806 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: poker break till finals
Posts: 738
Default can I fold here with AA on the flop?

Don't know why the hand history isn't converting, but w/e.

Reads: Villain over about 40 hands appears to be a solid TAG.

5 handed, .05/.1 blinds, I have $11.30, Villain covers.

I raise UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] to $0.40.
BTN calls, Villain calls from the SB

Pot is $1.30
Flop is 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 10[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
Villain leads out for $1.30, I reraise to $5.50, he shoves.

Can I find a fold?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-29-2007, 10:09 PM
Fulzgold Fulzgold is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 52
Default Re: can I fold here with AA on the flop?

you're definitely behind here. yes you can fold.

also, if you are ahead, your equity isnt that strong.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-29-2007, 10:09 PM
Paul Thomson Paul Thomson is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: donking it up NL200
Posts: 3,589
Default Re: can I fold here with AA on the flop?

no
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-29-2007, 10:10 PM
Paul Thomson Paul Thomson is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: donking it up NL200
Posts: 3,589
Default Re: can I fold here with AA on the flop?

[ QUOTE ]
you're definitely behind here. yes you can fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

we're ahead of KQ, TJ, and 87
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-29-2007, 10:11 PM
mickb70 mickb70 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Sydney, Australia
Posts: 59
Default Re: can I fold here with AA on the flop?

I can't find a call.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-29-2007, 10:17 PM
Paul Thomson Paul Thomson is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: donking it up NL200
Posts: 3,589
Default Re: can I fold here with AA on the flop?

we only need to be good here 25% of the time to call.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-29-2007, 10:30 PM
mickb70 mickb70 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Sydney, Australia
Posts: 59
Default Re: can I fold here with AA on the flop?

[ QUOTE ]
we only need to be good here 25% of the time to call.

[/ QUOTE ]

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 23.671% 23.50% 00.17% 6514 47.50 { AcAs }
Hand 1: 76.329% 76.16% 00.17% 21111 47.50 { TT-99, AKs, QJs, AKo, QJo }

Salient point and i make it 5.4 more into 22.7 pot so need 23.78 which seems to make this close. I've already folded but I was prob wrong on closer inspection.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 11-29-2007, 10:33 PM
Paul Thomson Paul Thomson is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: donking it up NL200
Posts: 3,589
Default Re: can I fold here with AA on the flop?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
we only need to be good here 25% of the time to call.

[/ QUOTE ]

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 23.671% 23.50% 00.17% 6514 47.50 { AcAs }
Hand 1: 76.329% 76.16% 00.17% 21111 47.50 { TT-99, AKs, QJs, AKo, QJo }

Salient point and i make it 5.4 more into 22.7 pot so need 23.78 which seems to make this close. I've already folded but I was prob wrong on closer inspection.

[/ QUOTE ]

nice try. put in TJ and 9T and KQ
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 11-29-2007, 10:34 PM
Fulzgold Fulzgold is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 52
Default Re: can I fold here with AA on the flop?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
you're definitely behind here. yes you can fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

we're ahead of KQ, TJ, and 87

[/ QUOTE ]

villian appears to be a solid TAG. Easy fold.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 11-29-2007, 10:36 PM
mickb70 mickb70 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Sydney, Australia
Posts: 59
Default Re: can I fold here with AA on the flop?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
we only need to be good here 25% of the time to call.

[/ QUOTE ]

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 23.671% 23.50% 00.17% 6514 47.50 { AcAs }
Hand 1: 76.329% 76.16% 00.17% 21111 47.50 { TT-99, AKs, QJs, AKo, QJo }

Salient point and i make it 5.4 more into 22.7 pot so need 23.78 which seems to make this close. I've already folded but I was prob wrong on closer inspection.

[/ QUOTE ]

nice try. put in TJ and 9T and QJ

[/ QUOTE ]

I just put in the certainies to get us enough equity to call. TJ 9T maybe even 89 are just gravy. QJ is already there BTW.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:45 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions Inc.