50NL 230bb deep, bottom set vs a turn cr

[campi]

Small network, so no converted hand history [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

50NL 6-handed, a mixture of loose and tight players. I have a LAG-ish but not reckless image. I busted a few short stacks and took down many small pots pf and on flop. Villain seemed tight pf after winning a ~60bb pot, i 3bet his openraise in position 2 times in the last 20 mins, both times he folded. Didnt see him in action on turn or river.

Villain in the CO with $119
Hero on the Btn with $151

Hero has 6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

2 folds, CO raises to $1.5, I reraise to $4.5, blinds fold, He calls

Flop: 8 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (pot: $9.75)

He checks, I bet $6.5, He calls rather quickly

Turn: T [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

He checks, I bet $15, He thinks a while than raises to $43, Hero ???

[Ace0fSpades]

Your turn bet is a little small, this could simply be our villain jumping on a small-ish bet. More likely, villain has an overpair, a set, or TPTK, in any case I can't say we're going to be able to get away from this hand given the board.

[insertnickname]

Flopbet is too small. I would bet ~ $7 - $7.50 and shove the turn after his raise.
I would give him following range.

Board: 8s Jh 6c Tc
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 36.212% 36.21% 00.00% 478 0.00 { TT+, 88, 66, AcKc, AcQc, AcJc }
Hand 1: 63.788% 63.79% 00.00% 842 0.00 { 6d6h }

So your still good against this range.

[PepsPersson]

I think we can fairly easy take away AKc and AQc from his range. Dunno about AJc but I think I would add that into his range like 20% of the time. We are still good against his range. The only thing I dislike about this is that we have bottom set, no other sets do we beat. I like to get it in, since JT and other combos would play this way sometime. People fancy Aces enough to do this also. Meh I get it in.

[insertnickname]

Hero has a laggy image at the table.
With AKc and AQc Villain has overcard (which he might think are somewhat good) gutshot and nutflushdraw.

[Gullanian]

Always call

[Knoooby]

why no raising gullanian? imo we cant give any free card. and are way ahead of his range right now (and maybe even ahead of his calling range, but thats just my guess)

[Gullanian]

Sorry though he went AI, I go AI every time here. It's a profitable move.