***NBA FUTURES THREAD***

[mogwai316]

Diamond

[AllinDan]

online beginner:

I think you should be concerned by the fact that all of your plays are overs.

The current total of all over/unders is 15-20 games higher than the total possible number of wins.

I don't really know enough about most teams on here to bet them, but the Warriors are listed at 41. They will win more than 41 games. Anybody who thinks they might be a worse team than last year just doesn't know what they're talking about and/or didn't pay attention last year.

[darko3131]

Just made a few small bets on bodog.
Boston to win the Atlantic Division at 10/13, I don't think they will be as good as some think but this division is a joke.
Orlando Under 47.5 No way does adding Rashard Lewis and losing Darko and Grant Hill= 8 more wins.
New Jersey Under 43.5 They just always seem to be about .500 so with Kidd and Vince getting older I'll take under.
Charlotte Under 35.5 Losing May and Morrison makes this an under for me. They are very thin and Okafor is the definition of injury-prone.
Philadelphia Over 31.5 Underrated Andre Miller throwing oops to leapers AI, Carney, and Thaddeus make this an exciting near .500 team.
Minnesota Over 20.5 No pressure on a young team with alot of potential stars, Al being the centerpiece.
Memphis Over 33.5 This was year in and year out a playoff team so take advantage of this # after a bad year.

[kaboshedx]

[ QUOTE ]
Just made a few small bets on bodog.
Boston to win the Atlantic Division at 10/13, I don't think they will be as good as some think but this division is a joke.
Orlando Under 47.5 No way does adding Rashard Lewis and losing Darko and Grant Hill= 8 more wins.
New Jersey Under 43.5 They just always seem to be about .500 so with Kidd and Vince getting older I'll take under.
Charlotte Under 35.5 Losing May and Morrison makes this an under for me. They are very thin and Okafor is the definition of injury-prone.
Philadelphia Over 31.5 Underrated Andre Miller throwing oops to leapers AI, Carney, and Thaddeus make this an exciting near .500 team.
Minnesota Over 20.5 No pressure on a young team with alot of potential stars, Al being the centerpiece.
Memphis Over 33.5 This was year in and year out a playoff team so take advantage of this # after a bad year.

[/ QUOTE ]

3 contenders for the div tittle with Toronto (ahem, won it last year), Jersey (gotten tougher down low, injured last year), and Boston. Just a poor bet on your part.

The rest is mostly bunk reasoning as well.

Think about your analysis, then ask yourself - is this factored into the line already?

[darko3131]

If I think a team is going to run away with a division I'm not afraid to bet it before the season. Last year I took the Suns at 6/5 to win the Pacific and in football I took the Patriots to win the East this year. Both times people said they were bad bets because the almighty Kobe or Chad Pennington were big threats [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

I'm open to opinions on my O/U's, but trust me the NBA is my sport for betting and if they don't go atleast 4-2 I'd be shocked.

[ImNew]

Picks on 2007-2008 NBA Regular Season Wins:

Charlotte Bobcats u35.5 -115
Cleveland Cavaliers u49.5 -135
Denver Nuggets o48.5 -115
Memphis Grizzlies o32.5 -115
Orlando Magic u47.5 -125
Phoenix Suns o55.5 -115
Washington Wizards o39.5 -115
Golden State u42.5 -125
New Orleans o37.5 -125

[sublime]

wow i am on the opposite side of a ton of your bets OLB.

[BudLewis]

The Rockets are +2050 to win the title at The Greek. If anyone cares to take a shot, I think that's a good one. They look like an improved team.
(+1222 at Pinnacle, +900 at Bet Jamaica, 7/1 at Bodog, etc.)

[MCS]

[ QUOTE ]
The Rockets are +2050 to win the title at The Greek. If anyone cares to take a shot, I think that's a good one.

[/ QUOTE ]

I love that at +2050. I'm high on the Rockets.

[centris]

I don't know any thing about the NBA, but I want to get a little action down so I took pinny's line as the true line, assumed a Poisson distribution and then just looked for value at the two books I have right. Here are the plays:
BOS u50 2.2u to win 2u (bodog)
DEN u49.5 .952u to win 1u (bodog)
DET u50.5 1.15u to win 1u (bodog)
POR u31 .952u to win 1u (5dimes)
WAS u41 1.575u to win 1.5u (bodog)

The number of units are based on the relative value according to pinny. This system also likes the following plays but only marginally:
ATL o38.5 -105 (bodog)
HOU u53.5 -115(5dimes)
LAC o30.5 -120 (bodog)
NY o36 -120 (bodog)
SEA o28 -115 (bodog)