Can anyone stake me say $100K? Negreanu offering 5-1 he wins at WSOP

[kemystery]

Negreanu: Says he'll win


OP ~ DN says he is willing to lay 5-1 he will win a bracelet in the WSOP this year in his new blog - I'm not as confident; stake me?

[ QUOTE ]
"Now all that's over and here is my tentative WSOP plan:

I plan on playing almost daily and spending little to no time doing media related things, outside of two early mornings on the 8th and the 9th. My plan is to basically avoid the smaller buy in events and stick to the later, 5:00pm events that are better suited for my skill set. I actually printed out a rough schedule of what I'd want to do everyday so that I don't make any overlapping mistakes, for example, not playing the two tournaments prior to the $50,000 H.O.R.S.E. Here is what I have:

Jun 1: 12:00pm $5000 No Limit/Limit Hold'em
Jun 2: 12:00pm $1500 No Limit Hold'em
Jun 3: 5:00pm $2500 Omaha HL/Stud HL
Jun 4: 5:00pm $5000 Pot Limit Omaha (RB's)
Jun 5:12:00pm $1000 No Limit Hold'em (RB's)
Jun 5: 5:00pm $1500 Omaha HL (if out of other event)
Jun 6: 5:00pm $5000 7 Card Stud
Jun 7: 12:00pm $1500 No Limit Hold'em Short Handed
Jun 8: 5:00pm $5000 Pot Limit Hold'em
Jun 9: 5:00pm $2500 H.O.R.S.E.
Jun 10: 5:00pm $5000 Limit Hold'em
Jun 11: 12:00pm $2500 No Limit Hold'em
Jun 11: 5:00pm $2000 Stud H/L (if out of other event)
Jun 12: 12:00pm $1500 No Limit Shootout
Jun 13: 12:00pm $5000 No Limit Hold'em
Jun 14: 5:00pm $3000 Stud H/L
Jun 15: 5:00pm $5000 H.O.R.S.E.
Jun 16: 12:00pm $1500 No Limit Hold'em
Jun 17: 12:00pm $3000 No Limit Hold'em
Jun 17: 5:00pm $1500 Razz (if out of other event)
Jun 18: 12:00pm $2500 No Limit Hold'em Short Handed
Jun 19: 1:00pm $5000 No Limit Hold'em Heads Up
Jun 20: 12:00pm $1500 Pot Limit Omaha (RB's)
Jun 20: 5:00pm $3000 Limit Hold'em
Jun 21: 5:00pm $5000 Omaha H/L
Jun 22: DAY OFF
Jun 23: DAY OFF
Jun 24: 12:00pm $50,000 H.O.R.S.E.
Jun 25: Still in H.O.R.S.E.
Jun 26: 12:00pm $2000 Limit Hold'em
Jun 27: 12:00pm $2000 Omaha HL
Jun 28: 12:00pm $5000 No Limit Hold'em Short Handed
Jun 29: 12:00pm $2000 No Limit Hold'em
Jun 29: 5:00pm $1000 2-7 Triple Draw (RB's) (If out of other event)
Jun 30: 12:00pm $1500 No Limit Hold'em
Jul 1: 12:00pm $10,000 Pot Limit Omaha
Jul 2: 12:00pm $1000 No Limit Hold'em (RB's)
Jul 3: 12:00pm $1000 Limit Hold'em Shootout
Jul 4: 12:00pm $5000 2-7 Single Draw No Limit
Jul 5: DAY OFF
Jul 6: DAY OFF
Jul 7: DAY OFF
Jul 8: $10,000 No Limit Hold'em Main Event

All of this is subject to change, with the exception of the fact that if you don't see a tournament on this list, there is zero chance that I will play it. I will likely skip a few of these even to avoid burn out. In addition to playing the tournaments, I won't be playing in the cash games unless I change my mind sometime between now and the end of the WSOP. It drains too much energy out of me.

I actually played at the Bellagio once this week for 8 hours and I played pretty well. I was very unlucky in triple draw not winning any real pots in that game. When you can't make a hand in triple draw in a mixed format, it usually means you are destined to have a losing session as the game plays bigger than a game like, 7 Card Stud for example. I ended up losing $95,000 and the game broke after Chan, Tuan and myself played three handed for a while.

Other than that I haven't played poker much at all, and that was my intention anyway as the WSOP will be grueling.

On days when I start at 5:00pm, I may decide to golf that day, or, if I play a noon even and am out early I may head to the course for a late round. I'm assuming there will be some big golf matches throughout the WSOP, but I'm so bad now that it would be difficult for me to match up with anyone as they'd have to give me a TON of strokes to make a game even remotely fair. Not only strokes, but since I don't hit the ball anywhere off the tee, I have to get a tee spot also. Who knows, we shall see...

Aside from that, I won't be drinking during the WSOP. I may entertain guests one or two nights during the month, but aside from that I'll be home working out, playing pool, hanging with the wife, and mostly just relaxing in between play.

I offered, and am still offering anyone a price on me winning a WSOP bracelet this year. I had several offers the first time I posted it, so here is a reminder to those interested: you can lay me 5-1 and I'll be willing to bet up to $100,000 that I'll win a bracelet in 2007. For those who don't know how that works exactly, you'd put up $500 if you lose, and win $100 if I'm unable to win a bracelet.

Here's to a great WSOP in 2007, good luck to all!"

[/ QUOTE ]

source

[lippy]

I generally rag on pros -- it is very, very fun -- but he'll probably win a bracelet every 4-7 years. This bet isn't that +EV.

[onadraw]

"you can lay me 5-1"

"For those who don't know how that works exactly, you'd put up $500 if you lose, and win $100 if I'm unable to win a bracelet."

[donger]

[ QUOTE ]

"you can lay me 5-1"

"For those who don't know how that works exactly, you'd put up $500 if you lose, and win $100 if I'm unable to win a bracelet."

[/ QUOTE ]

So what skill is OP bringing to this bet that merits him being staked?

[rpr]

stake me for sports betting

I'll provide makeup, 100% no loss to you

[antisocialgrace]

"After dinner, it's over to my place. I much prefer hanging at the house rather than going to a bar or a club where there would be lots of people there that I don't really know. In the past, it's become annoying for some of my friends sometimes as they constantly feel like they have to watch my back and often people cross the line of what's acceptable behavior. People would just kind of invite themselves to our group and just hang out with us. Now, I'm talking about complete strangers here. It's just not cool."

This is why so many people can't stand this insecure self-important little wannabee elitist punkshit.

How dare you occupy the immediate proximity to my nimble name dropping and magnanimous metrosexual magnificence!!! Damn you plebs, damn you to El Cortez or Four Queens!!

[Arito]

So you think it's alright for complete strangers to invite themselves over when you're out with friends?

[moving shapes]

it's not ok if you haven't been on tv

[ifoughtpiranhas]

i understand where hes coming from. he likes to go out with his friends for some down time away from the spotlight but because of his celebrity status its very hard for him to have fun or relax so he chooses to socialise out of the public domain. either way i doubt it bothers too many people

[Mitch Evans]

Jeez, when I read the subject I thought he was actually offering 5:1 odds, but I see he is actually offering 1:5.