100nl: 2nd Pair + Flush Draw versus nit

[underthesky]

Villain is 9/6/1.5 over 60 hands. If villain were a regular TAG I'd probably CRAI this turn. But against what do you do against this guy? I got confused so I folded.

$0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
Hero (<font color="#0000cc">$134.43</font>)
CO (<font color="#0000cc">$100.00</font>)
BTN (<font color="#0000cc">$96.50</font>)
SB (<font color="#0000cc">$103.90</font>)
BB (<font color="#0000cc">$100.00</font>)

Hero is UTG with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

Pre-flop: ($1.5, 5 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $4</font>, CO calls $4, <font color="#777777">3 folds</font>

Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($9.5, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $7</font>, CO calls $7

Turn: 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($23.5, 2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">CO bets $19</font>, <font color="#777777">Hero folds</font>

[Kala1928]

How about a call, lead river if you hit.

[scatt_man]

crai .... you are getting 45% equity on a fairly tight range and even if you check raise all in and he calls you will be getting the right odds against his range

now, if you add in even 5% for FE you make this play +ev

Board: 3d Kd Th
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 44.952% 44.94% 00.01% 8454 1.50 { Td9d }
Hand 1: 55.048% 55.04% 00.01% 10353 1.50 { TT, 33, AKs, KQs, AKo }

[Nick Royale]

[ QUOTE ]
crai .... you are getting 45% equity on a fairly tight range and even if you check raise all in and he calls you will be getting the right odds against his range

now, if you add in even 5% for FE you make this play +ev

Board: 3d Kd Th
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 44.952% 44.94% 00.01% 8454 1.50 { Td9d }
Hand 1: 55.048% 55.04% 00.01% 10353 1.50 { TT, 33, AKs, KQs, AKo }

[/ QUOTE ]
That's the flop. Flop's a def bet.

[Nick Royale]

I'd just bet the turn.

[scatt_man]

oh ya you are right ... for the turn we have only 30%