TPTK against TAG in BB 3bet flop...

[GittyUP]

Villain is a reg. TAG running at 21/11/8 over 100 hands.

He hasn't gotten out of line so far.

My thinking here is either im crushed or flipping if he has Kxh.

Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

SB ($187.80)
<font color="#C00000">BB ($198)</font>
Hero ($683.30)
MP ($93.40)
CO ($93.80)
Button ($61.30)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $7</font>, MP calls $7, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, SB calls $6, BB calls $5.

Flop: ($28) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $18</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $65</font>, MP folds, SB folds, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $148</font>, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $241


Correct fold?

[the machine]

its very close but i think i fold here. i doubt he has a draw like Kx i really think he has a hand like Qxhh

edit: and thats the bottom end of his range imo

[GittyUP]

sorry i meant Qxhh

[smark102]

Against an aggressive opponent, we could easily see a bare flush draw or a KQ of any suit. I don't think a mid pocket pair is out of range. Going back to KQ, if he decided his hand was good at the moment, a reraise to commit would make sense as it makes flush draws pay. TPTK should put it in here and be +EV against opponents range based on my experience, though it is close.