$6.50: AJo w/ microstack & another microstack

[justatrey]

Running this through SNGPT w/ BB calling 100% gives +.2%. Do we take it or let other shorty hit blinds next hand?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG (t490)
Button (t7630)
Hero (t670)
BB (t4710)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>.

Hero?

[Pocketbear]

I would instapush. The hand is just too good and there is no guarantee that the shorty will bust while in the blinds.
Also, I don't think BB is calling with 100%, especially at $6.50.

[santiagoz]

Push. Because the shorty can double up in the blinds and then you will be bubble

[justatrey]

I agree it's not automatically 100% at a 6.50 but BB was a loose caller, so I'm pretty sure he's at or near 100%.

I guess the question is if anyone thinks its more +EV than the +.2% I can take here to let other shorty go through the blinds.

[allhappythoughts]

Shove. I've been in situations like this before, and it tends to end bad when you let hands go like this. Other shorty will probably double up with some trash hand, and you won't find anything better to shove with after this hand. Tough call, but I prefer the aggressive approach.

[TruFloridaGator]

If you fold you either bubble or get 3rd almost always, so more reason to shove. No reason to throw away an edge here either.

[Shillx]

Fold not close (assuming he always calls). If he calls 50% of the time (+1.2%) then yeah you gotta go with it imo.

[justatrey]

[ QUOTE ]
Fold not close (assuming he always calls). If he calls 50% of the time (+1.2%) then yeah you gotta go with it imo.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not close because it's more clearly +EV to let shortstack hit the blinds, right? No way to assign a value to letting this happen, but I'm thinking its more than +.2%.

BTW I'm still assuming BB calls 100% for simplicity. The main question is whether or not we should pass up on a slightly +EV spot here or not.

[Shillx]

It isn't even +EV if he always calls. It is -0.4%.