#1
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$6.50: bubble decision
Villain has not been auto-stealing, and has actually limped in from SB a few times. He called an all-in for 1200 in a raised pot on flop of 2-3-4 with A3, so he likes to call. I felt like I might have some FE if he has complete crap but I'm probably getting called like 80 - 90% of the time...
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t400 (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) Hero (t2305) UTG (t1045) Button (t2250) SB (t7900) Preflop: Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to t800</font> Hero? |
#2
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Re: $6.50: bubble decision
Easy shove over. With blinds this big and a monster hand, no way I am laying this down. You are way ahead of his range IMO.
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#3
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Re: $6.50: bubble decision
I shove. He's probably calling with a ton of hands that you are way ahead of. Your to short to fold ITM but this is going to depend on how everyone else has been playing.
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#4
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Re: $6.50: bubble decision
I pushed, but it felt close with little or no FE and shorty having ~1000 in the BB next hand.
For pairs, I think TT is a closer call and 99 is where I'm lost, leaning towards folding. I'm folding less than 99. I'm interested what others call ranges are here... |
#5
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Re: $6.50: bubble decision
I think you have it correct here 99+ AKo maybe AQ but thats close.
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#6
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Re: $6.50: bubble decision
Depends what you think his minraise range is. If he has ANY idea what he is doing he should be raising a very wide rangee here.
This is closer than I first thought. Assuming you have no FE so he just puts you AI, if he's raising 40% then your call range is JJ+. If he raises 100% it is 88+. Very interestingly, AK is a fold here even if he raises 100% and never folds to a push. |
#7
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Re: $6.50: bubble decision
I doubt you have any fold equity here, shove and expect to see AT+... and an Ace on the river.
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#8
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Re: $6.50: bubble decision
[ QUOTE ]
Depends what you think his minraise range is. If he has ANY idea what he is doing he should be raising a very wide rangee here. This is closer than I first thought. Assuming you have no FE so he just puts you AI, if he's raising 40% then your call range is JJ+. If he raises 100% it is 88+. Very interestingly, AK is a fold here even if he raises 100% and never folds to a push. [/ QUOTE ] Thanks for the numbers. I remember reading another thread about why AK is a fold in these situations. The edge is much smaller against random hands than it is if you hold a medium or big pair. So when villain has a really wide range or is pushing any two, like in this hand, the edge AK gives isnt big enough in alot of bubble spots. |
#9
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Re: $6.50: bubble decision
I hate it but i would push this. He will call you 100% of the time, but you have his range crushed. If UTG was under 1 BB i would fold.
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