$6.50: bubble decision

[justatrey]

Villain has not been auto-stealing, and has actually limped in from SB a few times. He called an all-in for 1200 in a raised pot on flop of 2-3-4 with A3, so he likes to call. I felt like I might have some FE if he has complete crap but I'm probably getting called like 80 - 90% of the time...

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t400 (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero (t2305)
UTG (t1045)
Button (t2250)
SB (t7900)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to t800</font> Hero?

[taipan168]

Easy shove over. With blinds this big and a monster hand, no way I am laying this down. You are way ahead of his range IMO.

[cleinen]

I shove. He's probably calling with a ton of hands that you are way ahead of. Your to short to fold ITM but this is going to depend on how everyone else has been playing.

[justatrey]

I pushed, but it felt close with little or no FE and shorty having ~1000 in the BB next hand.

For pairs, I think TT is a closer call and 99 is where I'm lost, leaning towards folding. I'm folding less than 99.

I'm interested what others call ranges are here...

[ger664]

I think you have it correct here 99+ AKo maybe AQ but thats close.

[taipan168]

Depends what you think his minraise range is. If he has ANY idea what he is doing he should be raising a very wide rangee here.

This is closer than I first thought. Assuming you have no FE so he just puts you AI, if he's raising 40% then your call range is JJ+. If he raises 100% it is 88+. Very interestingly, AK is a fold here even if he raises 100% and never folds to a push.

[falser]

I doubt you have any fold equity here, shove and expect to see AT+... and an Ace on the river.

[justatrey]

[ QUOTE ]
Depends what you think his minraise range is. If he has ANY idea what he is doing he should be raising a very wide rangee here.

This is closer than I first thought. Assuming you have no FE so he just puts you AI, if he's raising 40% then your call range is JJ+. If he raises 100% it is 88+. Very interestingly, AK is a fold here even if he raises 100% and never folds to a push.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks for the numbers. I remember reading another thread about why AK is a fold in these situations. The edge is much smaller against random hands than it is if you hold a medium or big pair. So when villain has a really wide range or is pushing any two, like in this hand, the edge AK gives isnt big enough in alot of bubble spots.

[Whisper]

I hate it but i would push this. He will call you 100% of the time, but you have his range crushed. If UTG was under 1 BB i would fold.