Boxing Weekend of 10/5 - 10/7: Barreria v. Pacquiao - Page 5

Parlay Slow · #41 10-07-2007, 05:09 PM

Well it becomes difficult for me to see how interesting the argument is without you dropping f bombs, calling me retarded, bringing up chess bets that I shared with the board from a year ago, being sarcastic, implying that I'm 20 years old, etc

You seem like a really angry guy.

Thremp · #42 10-07-2007, 05:31 PM

dank,

You are v v wrong on this. Tuds is fairly wrong, but your reasoning is even worse. Sports betting isn't sports betting without odds. It just becomes a couple people talking about a fight. You need probabilities to find odds to find +EV or -EV bets.

NajdorfDefense · #43 10-07-2007, 06:24 PM

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Tuds,

Both those posts are humiliatingly bad. Parlay Slow is correct. You and dankhank are abysmally wrong. I'd suggest looking into this very soon.

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Saying he didn't think he was 88% to win I think is fine, regardless if he says it differently than you. If he got knocked down 3x, sounds like he was right.

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I think you re-read his posts in the thread carefully, you'll find that he wasn't saying anything like that.

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Sure he did, just not using specific math for this fight.

'The only time I would even think about [a fighter >> over 85% to win] if ...someone like Mayweather or Bernard Hopkins who has impeccable defense and even then they have to be taking on a total can.
Peter and McCline do not fit into each category.

I think Peter will win,.... but I DO NOT recommend betting on Peter on the moneyline.'

That is pretty understandable imho.

Tuds75 · #44 10-07-2007, 06:42 PM

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If anyone saw the Peter/McCline fight there is a good example of why you stay away from -750 and similar type heavy favorites, but it all worked out in the end.

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If there was going to be an immediate rematch of this fight, what odds would you take on McCline?

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What odds would I take? I would take something like +700 for McCline. It a moot point because there will be no rematch. Oleg or Klitschko have the next shot at Peter. McCline though can get another semi big fight with that showing.

Tuds