#1
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% of standard plays
if you saw each hand each player had and watched each of the following games for X amount of time, what % of hands would you be able to predict the players action? (only action is counted, bet size is not).
1. 6 max 25NL cash game 2. 6 max 1000NL cash game 3. highest stakes NL game on FTP with 6 regulars 4. $11+1 SNG 5. WSOP main event final table 6. take the players from #3, and make it a 6 person SNG |
#2
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Re: % of standard plays
I'd take #4, if only because I'd expect the weakest players to be found there.
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#3
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Re: % of standard plays
#4. Not only are they weaker, but they have less choices, because they can't rebuy.
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#4
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Re: % of standard plays
#7: A $20-40 fixed limit game.
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#5
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Re: % of standard plays
hmmmm i must of worded the question poorly. i was saying that you had the ability to observe every hand during a game (you are not playing). just imagine you are watching the game on ESPN except no editing, so you see the whole thing. as each players hand is displayed, you think to yourself "he's gonna bet/fold/raise" or whatever.
i asked for each of the 6 games, what % of hands would you be able to correctly guess what the player would do? so... 1. 70% 2. 60% 3. 40% etc. |
#6
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Re: % of standard plays
70% I suppose, considering that's how often most people fold junk hands preflop at 10max
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#7
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Re: % of standard plays
Tough question, mainly because the defintion of "standard" is different in each of your situations. A standard play at $25NL is not a standard play at $1000NL. I guess this only matters if you are asking what % of plays in that game are standard for it.
If, however, you are asking what I personally would be able guess....I'll venture to say: 1. 80-85% 2. < 45% 3. < 25% 4. 70-75% 5. 50-55% 6. < 15% I guess to better be able to answer I would also have to know at which point I can change my %. After watching any game for a few thousand hands I could probably start picking up on standard plays that I missed before. My answers are mostly based on the fact that I suck at tournies, am a winning micro-low stakes NL player, and I haven't played high limits. |
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