200NL - Prob a simple spot with TP+NFD

[dregal]

No real good read on villian other than that he is playing 42/12 through like 40 hands, so he is probably a donk. Looking back I think I should be betting the turn for value (?)...at the time I wasnt' really sure how to react to raise though so I opted to c/c. As played, whats the optimal river line? Does he bet a missed draw enough here (KQ, Kdx etc..) to make c/c profitable, or am I losing to much value from Jx hands that will call a smallish bet?

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 4 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

BB: $207.95
Hero (UTG): $249.65
BTN: $282.05
SB: $202.05

Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $7</font>, BTN calls $7, 2 folds

Flop: ($17) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $12</font>, BTN calls $12

Turn: ($41) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $25</font>, Hero calls $25

River: ($91) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero... (Effective stacks $205)

[orange]

bet the turn.

either bet 60 on the river and fold to a raise or check and see what he does.

[Josem]

i think that betting vs 40/12 players when you have top pair top kicker is a generally good idea.

also, bet the turn, and i'd be inclined to check the river. a 40/12 player who calls pf, calls flop, calls turn, is probably unlikely to start betting/raising come the river.

[dregal]

Yeah wow, I just stoved a range of JJ/TT/55/KQ/and some SC's like 78s,89s etc...and I around a 40/60 dog.

So if bet $30 (leaving me with $200) and get c/r'd, I should be happy to get it in getting ~2.5:1 on my money (calling ~$200 to win ~$500), right? Please poke holes if I am messing that up anywhere.

[Fat Nicky]

not betting that turn is very bad I think. you're equity is through the roof against most of his range, get money in the pot!!