+EV?

sh58 · #1 11-14-2007, 11:34 PM

reads on villain are that donkbets are weak, and that he is very agressive. do not fold good hands to him.

he is playing 35/14/2

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (5 handed) Party Poker Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

saw flop|saw showdown

MP ($258.30)
Hero ($216.75)
SB ($399)
BB ($272.98)
UTG ($285.93)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
2 folds, Hero raises to $8, 1 fold, BB calls $6.

Flop: ($17) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets $10, Hero raises to $33, BB calls $23.

Turn: ($83) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets $40, Hero shoves!

i just thought he never has a flush here, he has some sort of marginal hand that is scared of the board so i shoved

like/not like?

Clever Nickname · #2 11-14-2007, 11:40 PM

Flop raise is fine, but I don't like the turn, I think he could very well have been leading the flop with a flush draw. Also, he may talk himself into calling with a pair + a club.

Anycall · #3 11-14-2007, 11:46 PM

If this is ur usual line with great draws and sets, I like it. His line looks like it's mediocre Q at best which may/may not have picked up FD, and u also picked some additional outs.

But it would be nice to know some of the villain's tendencies b4 making such plays though. If he is the type to go nuts with TPBK type, it's obv a horrible play.

sh58 · #4 11-14-2007, 11:48 PM

i would obviously take this exact line with a big hand, there isn't much else to do in this spot with a big hand

spivey · #5 11-15-2007, 12:10 AM

Looks like a flush to me that's hoping you'll raise again, unless you have a read that he will donk twice in a row weakly.

Spechel EDD · #6 11-15-2007, 12:11 AM

i only see this making weaker hands fold that you would otherwise want to keep betting into you.

edit: oh you dont have the straight and are playing this as a bluff. thats pretty ugly.

Speedlimits · #7 11-15-2007, 12:16 AM

dont try to bluff 35/14's.