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#1
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Re: NL25 - Analyze this PF vs LAG opponent
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SO lets say positionally aware PFR of 25 is opening 15% of hands from HJ. Our equity wih KJo is 40%. Let's say they are opening up 25% of their hands from HJ (which obviously is much higher than a positionally aware player with a total PFR or 25 would). Now our equity is 47%. Our KJo is definitely behind their range. [/ QUOTE ] These equity numbers don't really mean anything. We are playing a pot in position, not felting the hand pre against his entire range. |
#2
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Re: NL25 - Analyze this PF vs LAG opponent
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You can't fold this hand. I lean toward a call for the following reasons: 1. You have position 2. You have a hand that doesn't play well in a big pot so 3-betting is a bit stinky here (unless it is purely to steal but this isn't a steal type of hand). 3. You are way ahead of his range 4. He will likely put you on a fairly big hand since you've been very tight and non-tricky up till now. The problem with playing a hand like KJ is that its reverse dominated by so many hands. So reraising here is really bad because you fair very poorly against his calling range. Bob's your uncle. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] I liked all your points but the 4th one is not true/valid in this situation. I removed it and replaced it with my thinking. There is no evidence to suggest your reraising range here is wide. Very few people light 4bet in this spot at 25NL. Not sure why you said this, I would guess you don't play in these games. This is more likely to be true at 50NL, but is definitely not the case at 25. |
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