200NL - TT in reraised pot against sane vallian.. Semi deep

[Borsig]

Vallian is a sane TAG, playing 14/10.5/3.
I played the session looser but still TAG playing 22/14/3
We have been tangling a bit and he has been 3 betting me a few times before this hand came up.
The reason I make this move is because he don't bet the flop which indicates he most likely don't have AA,KK and even if he has it he must be having a tough time calling the river on that board.

Sexy or total spew?

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $163.40
BB: $244.45
UTG: $200
<font color="black">Hero (MP): $326.40</font>
CO: $139
BTN: $530.90

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $7</font>, CO folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $24</font>, 2 folds, Hero calls $17

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($51) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($51) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $29</font>, Hero calls $29

<font color="black">River:</font> ($109) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $55</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $170</font>,

[disciple]

what are the chances of him folding TT-QQ?

[shpanko]

I'd call the turn and maybe call the river. I mean does he really check behind with QQ+ on that board on the flop? FWIW I think his range when he bets the river is high hearts. If the river was an offsuit 7 I'd snapcall. As played flip a coin. I don't see why you're turning your hand into a bluff. I mean you have a good chance at having the best hand given his line. Why c/r the river?

[mdkrahn]

I don't get the raise.
You're much better off just calling.

If he doesn't have AA/KK, he probably doesn't have JJ/QQ either.

[Borsig]

I think there is a good chance he has a pocket pair higher than mine and I am basically trying to push him off on that board. I almost know for sure he does not have AA or KK because then he would c-bet the flop but would he fold the river if he had JJ+ ?

[shpanko]

If he reads hands well then I don't think he'll fold JJ/QQ very much. I mean every draw got there on the river so why would you go for a c/r? If he has QQ/JJ you should be expecting him to check behind a lot so you'll never be trying a c/r on this board. This might be giving the opponent too much credit but I just think the play looks very fishy.

HOpefully he's bad and just sees a large raise and a scary board and thus folds his TT-QQ, still I don't like it. I'd much prefer a call.

[joeblack]

[ QUOTE ]
I don't get the raise.
You're much better off just calling.


[/ QUOTE ]