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#11
11-26-2007, 07:24 PM
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Re: Flop nut straight, possible flush on river 100NL
[ QUOTE ]
LOL Why is it 75% or more? LOL [ QUOTE ] I'd fold. I think he has a flush here 75% of the time or more. [/ QUOTE ] [/ QUOTE ] Just a number I threw out there. With a psb here I think he has a flush the vast majority of the time and a set or 2 pair seldom (15%) and a bluff 10%. 
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#12
11-26-2007, 07:27 PM
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Re: Flop nut straight, possible flush on river 100NL
I think b/f for $30-$40 is much better than c/c.
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#13
11-26-2007, 07:40 PM
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Re: Flop nut straight, possible flush on river 100NL
Call. You only have to be right 35% of the time, and I think that this is a worse hand (JJ, AK, even a slow played KK) often enought for it to be worthwhile. So, click reload just in case, but call ...
I like a larger turn bet as well, and I don't mind the c/c on the river. I think a $30 bet on the river works, too, but keep in mind that if he shoves over your $30, you're then looking at $40 to win $150, and you'll have to call that as well ...
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#14
11-26-2007, 07:50 PM
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Re: Flop nut straight, possible flush on river 100NL
[ QUOTE ]
I think b/f for $30 is much better than c/c. [/ QUOTE ] Yup.
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#15
11-26-2007, 08:50 PM
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Re: Flop nut straight, possible flush on river 100NL
[ QUOTE ]
but full pot is a flush way too often. [/ QUOTE ] How does everyone else feel about this sentiment? I feel like the bet is begging for a fold whereas a flush would bet ~1/2 pot.
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