River bluff $200NL

[the_main]

edit: villain has tight aggro stats over about 3k hands. I doubt he's ever seen me really get out of line.

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $202.35
<font color="black">Hero (BB): $197.00</font>
UTG: $197.00
CO: $135.30
BTN: $38.00

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt (5 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $8</font>, 3 folds, Hero calls $6

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($17) (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">UTG bets $12</font>, Hero calls $12

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($41) (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $22</font>, UTG calls $22

<font color="black">River:</font> ($85) (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">UTG bets $54</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises all-in to $155</font>

I know we're shorthanded, but the game had just broken down. (also, i like u guys)

[lemming]

Hm, am I the only one seeing only black boxes on the card images? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[the_main]

I hope so... I converted it agian for you.

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $202.35
<font color="black">Hero (BB): $197.00</font>
UTG: $197.00
CO: $135.30
BTN: $38.00

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (5 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $8</font>, 3 folds, Hero calls $6

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($17) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">UTG bets $12</font>, Hero calls $12

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($41) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $22</font>, UTG calls $22

<font color="black">River:</font> ($85) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">UTG bets $54</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises all-in to $155</font>

[GrandMelon]

If hes capable of laying down an overpair here I like it, you're repping a set very well.

[lemming]

I think stack sizes are pretty much perfect for this to be working, in case he got some JJ like hand, which a tight player could be finding a fold, as the board got pretty scary indeed...

Depending on his stats, I think this play is +EV... I am very often playing similarly with a flopped set against an aggro player... So an aggro AND thinking player could find a fold here with an overpair I guess...

You ran into 1010? Bad luck [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[the_main]

No one hates this?

[TheBob]

I hate it. He'll be getting close to 3-1 on the call and I'm not sure I buy the river check raise there. I think for this to be +ev you really have to know your player because I think you get looked up by an overpair pretty often.

[GrandMelon]

Meh I just saw its shorthanded, not a huge fan of it anymore. Youll get looked up a lot lighter espcially since hes getting such a good price.

I think if it was a full table he'd fold a lot of hands even with this good of a price because your line is so strong.

[CalledDownLight]

[ QUOTE ]
No one hates this?

[/ QUOTE ]

Not coming from you. I don't know if you could have it preflop, but it looks a lot like Ac7c postflop. I doubt overpairs are calling often assuming he is solid like you say.

[BT2]

[ QUOTE ]
No one hates this?

[/ QUOTE ]

i hate this. river check/raises hardly ever work in my experience. there is a good chance he likes his hand because he had the option to just check behind. he either thinks he is behind and wants you to fold(witch i doubt is the case since he called the turn bet) or he thinks he is ahead and wants value.

every once and awhile i get tilty and start doing stuff like this. sometimes it works and i think i am playing really good poker. however, in the long run you will lose. there are way better spots to bluff. villains has not shown any signs of having a weak hand.