Average Speed IV Game Thread!

[durron597]

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ok those of you voting wdc, why him and not pudley?

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they're both wolves and we learn more from wdc?

[xorbie]

i think pudley is a better choice but obviously my hands are tied.

[fnord_too]

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Alex, dank, GT1T, fnord,

I ask of each of you to name the 2 players within this group you think are most likely to be a wolf (assuming xorbie is not lying).

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Ok, I am sort of fried right now, but I am suspicious of Xorbie (duh), Durron, and Getthere. I have not had a chance to reread the thread now that xorbie came out. I think his play was awful though, and if he was going to come out he could have done a much better job for the village if he is indeed a villager. I will try to come up with some inspired analysis before 11.

[fnord_too]

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and i just don't understand how dankhank, getthere, alex levine and fnord have all escaped any looks. guys we know there is a wolf there.

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Ummm, how do you know we have escaped looks? On the one hand you say "seer don't come out" and on the other you are basicly saying "why hasn't the seer come out with one of these guys as a wolf"? Seriously, if you are a villager, you are hurting us badly.

[JaredL]

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ok those of you voting wdc, why him and not pudley?

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they're both wolves and we learn more from wdc?

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Elaborate please. What does wdc being a wolf tell us that Pudley wouldn't as a wolf? Wdc being a villager?

Basically I think we learn the same either way but am more convinced Pudley is a wolf.

[fnord_too]

Jared has also struck me as wolfish at times. Right now, the only two people I trust are tokyo and traz. I still think if the seer has 5 villagers, 3-4 and 1 wolf, or two wolves and a villager or two he should come out. I know the wolves want to kill the seer, but the villagers need some friggin clue as to what is going on.

I am still trying to figure out why a villager would make the play Xorbie did. I think he needs to go soon if he is not cleared. His play was likely to draw out the seer (but now he sais "seer, don't come out", WTF?) and if not get the wolves another free shot while confusing the hell out of the villagers.

[xorbie]

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and i just don't understand how dankhank, getthere, alex levine and fnord have all escaped any looks. guys we know there is a wolf there.

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Ummm, how do you know we have escaped looks? On the one hand you say "seer don't come out" and on the other you are basicly saying "why hasn't the seer come out with one of these guys as a wolf"? Seriously, if you are a villager, you are hurting us badly.

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i don't mean they escaped seer looks, i mean people aren't bringing you four up at all for the most part. i understand the durron/xorbie/wdc/pudley thing though, and if you guys want to resolve that first that's fine, but after we're all dead just keep the other four in mind.

[xorbie]

fnord,

there are 17 people still in this game, of which 5 are wolves. 2 are confirmed villagers. that means we have at worst a 1/3 shot just going randomly. i don't think we "need" the seer out by any means, and i'm still suspicious of anyone who acts like we do. if durron, wdc and pudley all turn out to be villagers, then yeah i guess. maybe.

there's also the chance the seer has lost a lot of visions. the seer could have as few as four right now, one of which may have been amplify, tokyo, traz, kyrosmom and so basically just three pieces of information.

[kyro]

Alex Levin voted for wdcbooks
cezar voted for
dankhank voted for wdcbooks
durron597 voted for wdcbooks
elevens voted for Hornacek
fnord_too voted for getthere
getthere voted for
Hornacek voted for pudley4
iron yuppie voted for
istrong voted for wdcbooks
JaredL voted for
pudley voted for
thebram voted for xorbie
Tokyo voted for xorbie
traz voted for xorbie
wdcbooks voted for xorbie
xorbie voted for wdcbooks

wdcbooks 5
xorbie 4
Hornacek 1
pudley 1

[fnord_too]

unvote getthere, vote xorbie