When will a 2+2er win the WSOPME?

[gobbomom]

those are really cool Dynasty.

[Dynasty]

BTW, I remember being at Foxwoods in late March/early April of 2004 and talking to a friend about the upcoming WSOP. I said something like "I'm hearing this year's WSOP might draw 1,500 players. That would be almost double last year."

Getting 1,500 for the WSOP Main Event seemed like an extraordinary high # at the time. It was unprecedented for the turnout to jump by such a high %. When 2,576 players showed up at Binion's Horseshoe, I don't think anybody was prepared for it. The place was a zoo. I remember hearing about lines for alternates which stretched outside the building.

[GeniusToad]

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Raymer even credited 2+2 for his WSOP win.

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cha-ching!

then he also credited Poker Stars:

CHA-CHA-CHA-CHA-CHA-CHA-HYA-CHA-CHA-CHA-CHING!

[JohnG]

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I thought he started posting here after he won.

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he registered in 2002. heres a fun post though



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2002 was when the site went to new software and everyone had to re-register. Raymer was posting strategy on 2+2 from the 90's right up to his wsop win. I think I still have most of his posts on my computer.

[Wayrin]

About a 2+2er winning in the next five years...

Let's assume every year there's 20 in the WSOPME, and 6000 players. (Just a guess, I have no idea how many 2+2ers join this thing). Let's also assume 2+2ers are 3 times more likely to win. This gives still a 99% chance that in any given year, a 2+2er will not win.

So within 5 years, the chances of a 2+2 win are still <5%. It'd take about 70 years before it's a flip if a 2+2er has won or not in this made-up scenario.

[Lori]

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Let's assume every year there's 20 in the WSOPME

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This is likely the worst estimate for anything ever. IMO

<font color="white"> Lori</font>

[Wayrin]

Haha, fair enough. What's a better number?

[auc hincloss]

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Let's assume every year there's 20 in the WSOPME

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This is likely the worst estimate for anything ever. IMO

<font color="white"> Lori</font>

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lol.

[McFatSauce]

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Haha, fair enough. What's a better number?

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I'd guess much much higher.

[Lori]

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Haha, fair enough. What's a better number?

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It's going to matter whether you mean "Has a 2+2 account" or "Contributes daily" or at whatever point in between, but I'd say 200 is still going to be too low.

Day 1a thread

That's just the people who could be bothered to post, on the day in that exact thread or very well known 2+2ers that people discovered were playing.

There were four threads for day 1, plus other registration and sweat threads too

<font color="white"> Lori </font>