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#21
12-31-2006, 08:58 AM
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Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge: 2006 - Week 17
[ QUOTE ]
Will you be the first to volunteer? [/ QUOTE ] After seeing what YOU had to go through? Not much of a sales pitch. :P Besides, between my home poker group, home stuff and everything else, I barely have enough time to dedicate to 2+2 as it is... Hopefully, if you were serious, you can get a volunteer who actually KNOWS something about sports betting. edit- sorry if I've been a nag about the results lately. It just doesn't seem fun without knowing how you're doing, compared to everyone. I'm sure it's a lot of work to compile everything every week 
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#23
12-31-2006, 10:25 AM
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Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge: 2006 - Week 17
454
457 442 429 Well, a 4-0 then an 0-4, I'll be happy with a 2-2 but winning week to end on. I think I'm guaranteed a decent winning season either way and am happy that I've made big strides in my 'capping this year. Sample size is small, but big enough that I can feel the difference. Am I capable of winning on my capping alone yet? Doubtful. Am I miles better at the game than this time last year? For sure. $400 Titans -3 Sticking with the motivation based picks. The Pats have been my bogey team this year and I've struggled to pick their games and I've not done great on the Titans either, oh well, one last chance [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] $300 Cards +13.5 Wow, just wow. I think that the motivation based betting has gone the other way a bit here. I'm far from convinced that athletes get as excited about "Must win to seal home advantage" as they do about "Must win to continue the season". This line seems to have everything added into it on the Chargers' side, but in their hearts I suspect they just don't want to get beaten up this week. The Cards have stunk nastier and nastier as the season has gone on, but given that we win if the score is 14-3, I can't see us passing on this one. Charger fever and a kind of hook on the 14 has created a supersized silly fave here. $200 Chiefs -2.5 Simple pick for me here. Anyone who has read any of my writeups will know why I like this. $100 Bills +9.5 Similar to the Chargers pick here, I'm less excited about the actual line, but there's a bit of compensation in that they have probably already resigned themselves to 2nd place. Again, I don't buy that 'Pro Athletes always try' stuff. Thanks to Homer for his time, it was obviously more difficult than any of us can imagine as Homer has always been a worker. Thanks also to the other competitors for not jumping on Homer, oh and also for those who finish below me and made me feel like a real handicapper [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] Also thanks to Bellytimber for not borrowing from my imaginary dollars to pay for his picks when things got tough [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] Lori
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#26
12-31-2006, 05:24 PM
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Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge: 2006 - Week 17
432
431/432u
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#27
12-31-2006, 06:19 PM
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Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge: 2006 - Week 17
oh sure, NOW I'm perfect...
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#28
12-31-2006, 07:29 PM
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Re: 3+1 NFL Challenge: 2006 - Week 17
argh, just remembered to fill these out. Oh well, I don't need to see the season results to know that my picking two games has a higher EV than my picking four games. Sigh. Homer--take your time.
432 Bears 431/432o Lori, regarding item #4...you're welcome. and on item #3...big ditto. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
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