25nl - Making a move

[Logun]

Villain is 53.33/0
af = 1.33/2/5

only over 30 hands

Spew?


Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $11.15
BB: $16.10
UTG: $28.45
Hero (CO): $25.15
BTN: $23.10

Preflop: Hero is dealt 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5 Players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $0.85</font>, BTN calls $0.85, SB folds, BB folds

Flop: ($2.05) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $1.25</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $3.25</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $5.25</font>,

[CruS]

I would never do this vs .. anyone?
People tend to think anything is good on paired boards. He goes nuts here w/ an A. He is not folding a lot here. He might even look you up w/ 88 because your raise is so small.
I'd call it spew

[brandysbich]

There's not many worse boards to do this on. If you really want to steal this pot rather c/r his cbet, its cheaper and does the same thing....still a bad place to want to make a move

[Trogdor!]

donk move

1. dont 3-bet
2. 3-bet size sucks

[Antinome]

How often does he have to fold this for this to be profitable?

x(6.55)+(1-x)(-4)=0, x=4/10.55, x=38%

In his range I count 46 7s, 126 As, 69 PPs of which he might charitably fold 46... how much air would he have to have...

(46+x)/(23+126+46)=.38 x=31 combinations

eh, I suppose that's possible. Pretty damn marginal.

I can't vote spew, I suppose, but I do vote -EV.

[mertzo]

25nl - Making a move
Villain is 53.33/0

So ur making a valuebet move?

[Logun]

tbh I thought a VP$IP of 53 and a flop aggression of 1.33 I thought this might be +EV but I think it takes a strong player to bluff this.