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  #31  
Old 11-28-2007, 10:26 PM
Post-Oak Post-Oak is offline
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Default Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

[ QUOTE ]
so I realize everyone here is saying get on the mia to lose side, but long ago I took a shot at the other side. Got it 13-1, and now I am hoping for some hedging? advice.

[/ QUOTE ]

Actually, I am saying bet on Miami to WIN a game. I am sure that is what you meant though, and you have 13 to 1 on Miami to go 0-16. Correct me if I am wrong.

What sites do you have money on?

Do you have a WSEX account? Do you have a Matchbook account? 5Dimes?
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  #32  
Old 11-28-2007, 10:39 PM
FieryJustice FieryJustice is offline
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Default Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

anyone know what a good line is for the pats to go 16-0?
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  #33  
Old 11-28-2007, 10:49 PM
Post-Oak Post-Oak is offline
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Default Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

[ QUOTE ]
anyone know what a good line is for the pats to go 16-0?

[/ QUOTE ]

We have a long thread for that prop. I did some estimates last week (prior to the Philly game but still useful).
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  #34  
Old 11-29-2007, 03:10 AM
bylanta bylanta is offline
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Default Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

i have $ at sportsbetting and wagerstreet
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  #35  
Old 11-29-2007, 03:45 AM
Post-Oak Post-Oak is offline
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Default Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

[ QUOTE ]
i have $ at sportsbetting and wagerstreet

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm not familiar with either of those sites, so I just checked them out. Sportsbetting has the same selections/lines as Sportsbook, so it is obviously part of that group.

Unfortunately, they don't have a Miami 0-16 prop. One thing about Sportsbook though is that you can email them, and they will consider putting up any prop you suggest. Well, at least that is how it was in the past. I would contact their customer service and see if this is still possible.

I don't have an account at Wagerstreet, and they won't let me look at the lines. Do they have any Miami 0-16 props?

As far as I know, only WSEX has a Miami 0-16 yes/no prop up right now. In the past few weeks Bodog and 5Dimes did also, but they haven't had it for a while.

Without a WSEX account, there is not much you can do right now. One thing you can consider is to bet on Miami this week. Miami is actually favored in that game, and if you are nervous about getting nothing out of your 13 to 1 bet, this is the game most likely to screw you.

If you think betting on Miami is +EV, or is EV neutral, than I suggest you put some money on Miami. I wouldn't reccomend you bet on Miami if you consider the bet to be -EV (as most bets are).
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  #36  
Old 11-29-2007, 10:10 AM
Yowserrrs Yowserrrs is offline
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Default Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

lol...sorry new to the site and just assumed that this was post Pitt game...if they were offering -700 three games ago then Yes that was a GREAT price...if it was -700 now that would not be a good bet....just ballparking it I think the correct price is -500 which I believe is where it is now....I still contend that any series of probabilities that return >90% chance of Miami winning a game this season are grossly flawed.
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  #37  
Old 11-29-2007, 10:15 AM
Yowserrrs Yowserrrs is offline
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Default Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

Obv this is a bet where one cannot make a sig amt of $ due to cap so why dont we discuss some real opportunities...like how many units is everyone putting on the Jets here?
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  #38  
Old 11-29-2007, 10:59 AM
TooTallT TooTallT is offline
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Default Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

Why would anybody put money on the wrong side at a bad price?
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  #39  
Old 11-29-2007, 11:29 AM
kyro kyro is offline
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Default Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

yowserss,

There's only 5 games left. I would be really interested in your opinion of the Dolphins chances to win each game assuming each team stands pat with their rosters.
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  #40  
Old 11-29-2007, 11:58 AM
Yowserrrs Yowserrrs is offline
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Default Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

Chance to LOSE:
NYJ - 55% (I actually think its 65% but I dont want to cause an uproar given where the spread is)
BUF - 60%
BAL - 70%
NE - So much uncertainty depending who they start but to be conservative lets say 90%
CIN - 80%
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