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  #1  
Old 11-12-2007, 05:46 PM
David Sklansky David Sklansky is offline
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Default My First, And Perhaps Only, Statement About Absolute

First let me thank phzon for his crystal clear summary in the other thread.

Anway, this stuff doesn't horrify me the way it does some of you. My 59 years in this world have taught me that the majority of people who don't do wrong, at least as far as money is concerned, choose that honest path only because it is the better play. In other words most people won't pass up unfair advantages if they can get away with it.

So rather than being shocked, one should strive to put themselves in positions where those who could cheat you think it is in their best interests not to. Don't trust people to be honest. Trust them to do what is in their best interests. Make exceptions of course. But not with poker players you hardly know.

In the Absolute Poker case, the concern should not be that an insider found a way to see the hole cards. Especially since everybody is telling me that it is not scientifically possible to guarantee that this can't happen. The concern is that Absolute had no software that flagged suspicious play. And that they insisted that the hand histories were not strong enough evidence to override the scientific opinions of their programmers. (I was told that this was their excuse for their initial denials).

I personally was most outraged, not by the cheating, but rather by their snubbing of undeniable statistical evidence. I was personally curious whether the engineers who claimed that the cheating couldn't be done, said this in the face of this overwhelming statistical evidence. Or whether they made these claims without the evidence and the Absolute managemnt was so stupid as to believe them even after seeing the hand histories. Unless of course they were lying.

Thus to put it bluntly, unless the hand histories were not as they have been represented to me, those who originally said there was no cheating were either either lying or morons. If they were lying, it doesn't mean they were in on it. But it does mean they were willing to lie. And if they were morons it doesn't mean they don't know a lot about many things. Just not about poker. Which is obviously a concern.

Meanwhile why didn't Absolute have something in place to identify suspicious play? Internet poker is in some ways, more susceptible to cheating than live poker. But it is also a lot easier to catch. Because all hands can be examined. Any truly expert player would quickly catch any type of significant cheating if he could see every hand. Because if you cheat, you (or a partner) necessarily play hands differently than normal. And not just looser or tighter, or weaker, or more aggressive either. You play according to the cheating method you are using. Whether that might be knowing your partners cards, putting someone in the middle, not duplicating values, seeing other's cards, knowing upcoming cards, etc. And all of these styles are quite distinct from merely bad play. When you see these styles at the same time as you see everybody's hole cards its not hard to figure out what is going on. Even if it is far less obvious than what occurred at Absolute.

Of course no site can be expected to have live experts watching every game. But it isn't necessary. It is only necessary to have software that is pretty good at recognizing possible situations, based on play, results, and other things. Those situations are then refferred to the expert for further analysis. Obviously with such software the Absolute cheating would have been caught.

As far as what should be done now, I say do what is your own best interest. Don't worry if Absolute was cheating you or lying to you or was simply incompetant. Most likely all of that has changed. What apparantly hasn't changed however is that they still don't have software to pick up on cheating. So if you are a cheater or colluder you should rush right over there. If you are not, do what is best for you. Don't make it a matter of principle. You are not going to put them out of business regardless. And it is still not clear whether they deserve it or whether that would be in the best interests of internet poker in general.

When I play poker I always factor in a very small chance that I might get cheated. You should too. But that doesn't mean you shouldn't play. As long as the profit motive is your main motive. Many of the best players are not playing at Absolute right now. The games are probably juicier and Absolute is probably bending over backwards to entice you to go there. This isn't the Civil Rights Movement. We are talking about internet poker. If you think you can win more there, as long as you remain vigilent and are a bit quicker to quit when you are losing then normal, I say go for it.
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  #2  
Old 11-12-2007, 05:48 PM
highsteptd highsteptd is offline
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Default Re: My First, And Perhaps Only, Statement About Absolute

enough with 1st/second
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  #3  
Old 11-12-2007, 05:50 PM
Nulle Nulle is offline
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Default Re: My First, And Perhaps Only, Statement About Absolute

why dont people get banned for "first"?
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  #4  
Old 11-12-2007, 05:55 PM
mbsocc1346 mbsocc1346 is offline
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Default Re: My First, And Perhaps Only, Statement About Absolute

PROFOUND Skalansky, you should write a book or something.
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  #5  
Old 11-12-2007, 05:59 PM
Plikoe Plikoe is offline
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Default Re: My First, And Perhaps Only, Statement About Absolute

Case closed.
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  #6  
Old 11-12-2007, 06:03 PM
ikestoys ikestoys is offline
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Default Re: My First, And Perhaps Only, Statement About Absolute

i don't think his point was to have the final say about the case...

It was a nice to see how someone views this scandal who has seen it all though.
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  #7  
Old 11-12-2007, 06:13 PM
zen_rounder zen_rounder is offline
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Default Re: My First, And Perhaps Only, Statement About Absolute

looking at it in reality that is what is going to happen. just as the mr skalansky states. freedom of choice i suppose. in 6 months if online poker gets regulated then they will prob not find it esay to be of a standard to get a liscence. gambling will always have the shady side to it,despite all this so called air of respectability it has now attianed.law of the jungle.
they are offshore, unregulated entities. you gamble with your money in more ways than one. the choice is yours.anyone goes back there never ever come back to this forum and post about what you think might be cheating cos no one will give a [censored]
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  #8  
Old 11-12-2007, 06:10 PM
OodaThunkett OodaThunkett is offline
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Default Re: My First, And Perhaps Only, Statement About Absolute

What an awful, awful, post.
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  #9  
Old 11-12-2007, 06:22 PM
toss toss is offline
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Default Re: My First, And Perhaps Only, Statement About Absolute

[ QUOTE ]
What an awful, awful, post.

[/ QUOTE ]

How about explaining why it's an awful post instead of posting twice telling us all it's an awful post?
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  #10  
Old 11-12-2007, 06:44 PM
OodaThunkett OodaThunkett is offline
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Default Re: My First, And Perhaps Only, Statement About Absolute

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What an awful, awful, post.

[/ QUOTE ]

How about explaining why it's an awful post instead of posting twice telling us all it's an awful post?

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, okay, but it's difficult to know where to start. I'm not sure my grasp on this scandal is great, though I have read every post that I am aware of, but his seems complacently poor. Why didn't AP have software in place to spot the cheating? What a bizarre question. Possibly for the same reason they had software in place to do the cheating. Why wasn't the cheating picked up? Some reports say it was, but the security people were told not to worry their pretty little heads over it. The person/people cheating were at the top. They weren't even keeping HHs beyond two months [they allege].

Most people are on the make and the best way forward is to make sure it's in their best interests not to cheat, apparently. And how do we achieve this goal? Do we do it by concerted effort against any site that is caught cheating? No, we do it by accepting cheating and going straight back to the site that just got caught shafting people if we deem it to be in our own narrow short-term interests, according to Sklansky.

It really is an awful, shoddy, complacent, post.
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