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Old 07-17-2007, 07:24 AM
ChipLeader ChipLeader is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 285
Default Re: $27-AQs-what to do with so many draws

Very weak continuation bet, suggests extreme strength or very weak. Since hes raising from UTG+1, I give less credit to JQ, though i see this raise when suited occasionally. This looks the most like JJ scared of coordinated flop with K, 88/77 just betting cause he feels hes sposed to, or AQ/AJ making a blocker bet and hoping you fold. Some credit to AK/KQ, though i think those bet this flop harder to get you out while hes likely ahead. Possible big holdings are KK/TT/99, and as said some but not much credit for JQ. Due to how coordinated this flop is though, I dont think hes that strong, though i dont rule it out.

I agree with most respondents, raise an amount that gets all the garbage out. I think ~300 is good, theres a psychological factor in seeing a raise of 200+ compared to 180. This commits you, but theres VERY few hands youre far enough behind to here.

If you get called, i put him on KQ/AK and probably take the free card on turn. It sucks being at 700 chips but thats an easy double and its only 2nd level. Also, his call range is slim so theres a good chance he'll hold a hand he shouldnt that is still ahead of you going to river, such as KQ or even a stubborn QQ/JJ.
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