#1
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NCAAB Week 2 (11/12 - 11/9)
I posted my predictions for the totals this morning in last week's thread. Here are my plays:
2 units: u149-110 (NEW MEXICO STATE vrs DUKE) o149-110 (WESTERN MICHIGAN vrs OREGON) o117½-110 (DELAWARE STATE vrs COLUMBIA) o140-110 (HAMPTON vrs MARYLAND) 1 unit: u157-110 (SIENA vrs SYRACUSE) o122-110 (YOUNGSTOWN STATE vrs UCLA) o137-110 (GEORGIA SOUTHERN vrs FLORIDA STATE) o125-110 (THE CITADEL vrs SOUTH CAROLINA) u158-110 (NEW MEXICO STATE vrs DUKE) Today was a BIG learning experience as this is the first time I have hammered the totals right when they are released. Some very interesting line movements took place which have me very encouraged. Since this is maybe the only time I will post my predictions, I'll carry it out and compare them to the line movements here. Here are the movements for all my bets: S Carolina- My prediction: 131 Opened at: 123.5 Got my bet in at: 125 Current line: 133.5 Maryland My prediction: 149 Opened: 140 My bet: 140 Current line: 148 FSU: My prediction: 144 Opened: 137 My bet: 137 Current: 142 Oregon My prection: 161 Open: 146.5 (WTF?) My bet: 149 Current: 156 Syracuse My prediction: 152 Open: 152 My bet: 157 Current: 157 Columbia Prediction: 127 Open: 115 My bet: 117.5 Current: 119.5 UCLA Prediction: 130 Open: 122 My bet: 122 Current: 122 and then there is Duke... My prediction: 138 Open: 142 My bet: 149 Add a unit LOL: 158 Current: 158 I am confident the Duke situation is an anomaly. Their freshman must have been extremely impressive in the first game. I didn't make too much of the score of their first game since I don't really look at games against non division I teams, and their opponent was playing their first game in Div I. (Northwestern can beat a Div II team 105-40 and it won't tell you much.) But some smart people must be on top of the change in Duke's style of play with the new personel. I still got an extra unit on 158, but I'm not too confident about the 2 units I have at 149. If they win 85-50 I will be gloating afterwards though. Sorry to dominate this thread so much. Maybe I should just make my own thread since there aren't many other posters, but whatever. I'll keep using the weekly threads for now I guess. Hopefully if anyone is following my plays, the info. above will be somewhat educational about my process. |
#2
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Re: NCAAB Week 2 (11/12 - 11/9)
indiana -24
loyola PK UNC Charlotte -3.5 |
#3
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Re: NCAAB Week 2 (11/12 - 11/9)
Adding...
1 unit: o129½-110 (ARKANSAS LR vrs LOYOLA MARYMOUNT) Not totally confident in this one, but it is worth a unit at this point. |
#4
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Re: NCAAB Week 2 (11/12 - 11/9)
The Duke total is up to 160 now. Jesus.
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#5
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Re: NCAAB Week 2 (11/12 - 11/9)
[ QUOTE ]
The Duke total is up to 160 now. Jesus. [/ QUOTE ] Someone with a very respected following released over 145. |
#6
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Re: NCAAB Week 2 (11/12 - 11/9)
I have Duke -18
Duke U147.5 Duke U160 |
#7
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Re: NCAAB Week 2 (11/12 - 11/9)
LOL How crappy is this? I went to bet on S Carolina Under 137.5 which would give me a 12 point middle (I got Over 125 earlier.) Instead I misclicked on New Mexico/E Washington Under 137.5 (the only game I didn't cap, b/c of the two new coaches.) So not only do I get my money on that game, but it was my last unit in Bookmaker and I only have money left on Bodog now and they don't have the SC game so i can't get the middle. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] FWIW I'm not counting the UNM game on my official record. Bleh.
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#8
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Re: NCAAB Week 2 (11/12 - 11/9)
Ugh. So sick. Kinda like our game this weekend. Too bad I was there and had to witness that crap.
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#9
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Re: NCAAB Week 2 (11/12 - 11/9)
[ QUOTE ]
Ugh. So sick. Kinda like our game this weekend. Too bad I was there and had to witness that crap. [/ QUOTE ] That sucks. I will be at the Bama game. Will be much more fun, hopefully. |
#10
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Re: NCAAB Week 2 (11/12 - 11/9)
Adding...
One unit: Ohio State/Wis-Green Bay Under 142 |
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