Very strange 4-bet spot w/ 99 vs D_liciousUTB

[rand]

im cf this hand on every street unless i hit the nuts

[Barrin6]

Someone double check the math for me.
Villain folds:+358


Assuming you have 2 outs to win once he calls

1-[(47-2)/47 x (46-2)/46]=8.4% to win if he calls

Villain calls:EV=[(8.4%)x(814)]+[(91.6%)x(-814)]
EV= 68.37+ -745.62
EV= -677.25

Fold equity to make it neutral EV where fold equity =x
0=x(358)+(-677.25)(1-x)

0=358x-677.25+677.25x
0=1035x-677.25
677.25=1035x
x=65%

[rand]

[ QUOTE ]
Someone double check the math for me.
Villain folds:+358


Assuming you have 2 outs to win once he calls

1-[(47-2)/47 x (46-2)/46]=8.4% to win if he calls

Villain calls:EV=[(8.4%)x(814)]+[(91.6%)x(-814)]
EV= 68.37+ -745.62
EV= -677.25

Fold equity to make it neutral EV where fold equity =x
0=x(358)+(-677.25)(1-x)

0=358x-677.25+677.25x
0=1035x-677.25
677.25=1035x
x=65%

[/ QUOTE ]

looks good conceptually and i assume you can work a calculator...

[tecate]

i agree its reallll fishy to just call pre. maybe he's floating the 4bet to bet the turn if the flop checks through...i've done that once and seen it from a couple other tag/lag villain's, though it's def FPS.

anyway, i doubt he even folds JJ to a push here. so I either c/f all the way, or maybe check flop and call on a turn card under T.

[FionnMac]

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fwiw i have this guy a lot nittier than 24/19, over 2k hands

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what have you got him at?

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18/14

[ipokeder]

check flop check turn shove river

[obiedman]

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Hes not folding.

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seriously he's definitely not folding. just check and check again on the turn. if he shoves, obv fold. fwiw i don't really like the 4bet but it's okay once in a while... obviously much better i think if you know he'll never do something like flat and leave us in a spot like this

[pp262]

shove pre, as played check behind and hope to spike a 9.

[nextgenneo]

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shove pre, as played check behind and hope to spike a 9.

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shove pre depends on your overall strategy and I don't play an all-in 4bet strat.

anyways results were I shoved and didn't really like it. I got a fold but in retrospect I think just try to check this down and hit a 2 outer

[DevinLake]

TILT and I've been playing real bad this week. My hand is embarassing. genneo, your hand was good.

Fionn, you're stats are old. You constantly berating me and calling me a nit, inspired me to improve.