Getting value w/ quads - $10 MTT

[jk1986]

V Early in a $10 stars MTT. Turn check is for pot control. Correct spot for the zeebo shove on the river? -or is a value bet better?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t20 (9 handed) internettexasholdem.com

Button (t1410)
SB (t1450)
BB (t1510)
UTG (t1095)
UTG+1 (t1660)
MP1 (t1470)
MP2 (t1440)
Hero (t2485)
CO (t970)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t65</font>, CO calls t65, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls t55, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: (t215) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t95</font>, CO calls t95, SB folds.

Turn: (t405) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, CO checks.

River: (t405) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t1040</font>

[jrforman]

Cmon your line reeks like quads. I mean no villain in their right mind is going to call his bet unless he is on a suicide mission. Bet 150-200 for value on river and hope to get a crying call from a Queen.

[jk1986]

Well that's true of a thinking player, but I think I do get value from a queen here against an average player in this tourney no? I don't think the queen folds TBH, whole point of the zeebo theorem. But maybe I'm wrong...

[Das Budrick]

I would value bet this. The only hands calling here are a queen or a middle pocket pair. If villain called the flop bet with a low pair or a six a value bet of 150-200 could be called. I can't see a six or low PP calling an all in.

[CTFIRE]

I agree a bet of 100 into the 415 pot is much better. Much better chance of getting called.