I double barrel in a RR'ed pot, 200 NL

[shpanko]

Villain in the hand is a decent 27/20/3 lag/tag. I haven't been at the table long but long enough for him to know I'm aggressive. I feel like he's shoving draws and prob sets on the flop and thus his hand is defined as a weak made hand. Thus I shove turn. I'd play AK/AA/KK/JJ/AQ this way as well fwiw, he prob knows that I think. Thoughts?

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 4 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

UTG: $36.25
BTN: $194
SB: $58.35
Hero (BB): $246.80

Pre-Flop: 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB)
UTG folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $7</font>, SB folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $24</font>, BTN calls $17

Flop: ($49) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $38</font>, BTN calls $38

Turn: ($125) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $184.80 and is All-In</font>, about $130 for him to call (i.e. a psb)

[jk3a]

"I feel like he's shoving draws and prob sets on the flop and thus his hand is defined as a weak made hand."

This range is (JTs/QQ/QJs/AJo/AJs}

Not sure this is going to work all that often.

[shpanko]

you think most of those hands are calling a turn shove? I dont' get it. I think this bet is great against the range you gave.

[shpanko]

bump, is this stadard or something? Certainly felt kind of crazy and I think some more discussion is warranted.

[0evg0]

wrong turn card to do this on brah

you really think he folds something like oesd+fd, pair+oesd, pair + fd + gutshot for 1 psb?

nuh uh

[fees]

its ok u can rep AQ here too, FWIW i disagree with EVG i think he will fold QQKQ etc, also have u seen him calling him 3bs alot or not so much?

[shpanko]

he shouldn't call with QQ though if he thinks he's beat correct? or a hand like AJ or some weak king like K9? Or QJ? I mean if I'm him I'm certainly not calling my stack off there with QJ

[0evg0]

he's not calling pf with K9

i'd snapcall turn with AJ

if he thinks you're any good/has seen you before, he'll call with QJ prob 50/50. me, if my read is that AJ is good, then QJ is the same thing since you're showing up with exactly AJ on the turn rarely, and you're shoving it under 100% of the time

i'm not folding QQ if i get there like this

[0evg0]

fwiw, i take this line with any K i 3bet pf with in your spot

and obv i'm doing it for value because i think he's calling worse that frequently

[startrak]

[ QUOTE ]

i'd snapcall turn with AJ
LOL!
if he thinks you're any good/has seen you before, he'll call with QJ prob 50/50. me, if my read is that AJ is good, then QJ is the same thing since you're showing up with exactly AJ on the turn rarely, and you're shoving it under 100% of the time

So youd call with AT too? 99/88.. instacall? Where do you draw the line?


[/ QUOTE ]