#1
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10k sports bet prop...please help
after dominating my NFL fantasy league i was talking trash with one of the members as he paid me off and in his tilted state of mind he proposed the following bet:
10k wager on who can pick more winners against the spread next season. we each pick 3 games a week. Although ive spent most of my adult life in a casino i have never been a big sports bettor but I have always heard that there are certain bets that are historically better than 50/50 although not good enough to beat the Vig. these bets are: home dogs 10.5 or better dogs short week dogs bi week dogs is any of this true? are there historical bets better than 50/50? if so i will take his wager in a second because he is a massive blowhard and his picks will be no better than random. |
#2
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Re: 10k sports bet prop...please help
Since you can't even spell "bye", I would advise you lower the stakes by a few orders of magnitude.
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#3
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Re: 10k sports bet prop...please help
this should be easy. home dogs are historically a good subset, not sure about the others.
the contest will all depend on what you use for lines. if you use the closing line at an online book then you will have to actually cap the games. but if you use lines from say the sunday morning paper, then the lines they are printing will be from the night before, and you can look at the latest lines before kickoff (or whenever you exchange picks) and just go with the best numbers compared to what the current online market offers. if you spend a little time respecting the opinion of market leaders like pinnacle for example, you will have an edge over any blowhard. |
#4
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Re: 10k sports bet prop...please help
[ QUOTE ]
this should be easy. [/ QUOTE ] really? this guy knows nothing, and who knows about the other guy? he's either a degenerate gambler (who might have a decent service) or he's not that bad at picking games... Also line movement doesn't really dictate who will win. public money moves lines alot... If you have never picked football before, it seems like a lot of $ (unless you can easily afford it). If you place the bet, you might want to read/study or ride the coat tales of a decent handicapper. trust me. If it was so easy, we'd all be rich. |
#5
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Re: 10k sports bet prop...please help
[ QUOTE ]
home dogs 10.5 or better dogs short week dogs bi week dogs [/ QUOTE ] 3rd road game, division rivals, revenge games, yada yada... If only it was this easy [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img] |
#6
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Re: 10k sports bet prop...please help
Let me make the picks for you and we'll split the money if you win. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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#7
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Re: 10k sports bet prop...please help
Water,
Your avatar is like the best part of this whole godforsaken forum bro. |
#8
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Re: 10k sports bet prop...please help
[ QUOTE ]
Since you can't even spell "bye", I would advise you lower the stakes by a few orders of magnitude. [/ QUOTE ] You must be joking. -Diplomat |
#9
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Re: 10k sports bet prop...please help
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Since you can't even spell "bye", I would advise you lower the stakes by a few orders of magnitude. [/ QUOTE ] You must be joking. [/ QUOTE ] You should ignore him. His posts are almost always short, unconstructive criticism. |
#10
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Re: 10k sports bet prop...please help
[ QUOTE ]
public money moves lines alot... [/ QUOTE ] I'm not sure this is true in the NFL. |
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