#1
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stat thing
Just curious if Stox's 35% equity rule for defending the BB is correct. So:
1. go into PT, 2. filter for 3-10 handed, 3. blind status = BB, 4. steal attempted = called/reraised a steal hu. 5. write down all hands that fall between -.4 and -.6 bb/hand. 6. Check their equity vs. top 40% and top 35% of hands in pokerstove. 7. Take the median value (not the average) to be roughly the cutoff point. 8. Post what you find here. I'm working on this right now. |
#2
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Re: stat thing
i just did this and i am getting 35% median equity for a steal range of top 40% and 34% median equity for a steal range of top 35%.
No matter what I do--even if I do weighting by hand frequency, filtering for 5/10+, particular sites, etc. I always seem to fall in 33-36% median equity range. |
#3
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Re: stat thing
wait, i think you have to design this test much more carefully or you won't get anything reliable out of it.
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#4
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Re: stat thing
[ QUOTE ]
wait, i think you have to design this test much more carefully or you won't get anything reliable out of it. [/ QUOTE ] you're right. here is a better way: Assume the average stealer has {top 35%}. Then the following hands have 34-36% equity vs. this range: 65o 76o 86o 87o 97o t7o j8o j7o q4o q5o q6o j2s j3s t2s t3s t4s t5s 94s 95s 84s 74s 73s 63s 53s 52s 43s 42s So apply the same filters as in OP and simply look up # hands and BB won. Then average each column seperately and calculate WR. If it is > -.5 BB then we should try this for hands that have 32-34% equity vs. {top 35%}, etc. until we find the approximae correct rule of thumb. I am working on this right now... |
#5
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Re: stat thing
this thread has exciting implications
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#6
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Re: stat thing
[ QUOTE ]
this thread has exciting implications [/ QUOTE ] hehe, yeah right, is that why it's already on page 2? |
#7
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Re: stat thing
heh, you and rzk seem to be the stat freaks around here... I'm still just sifting through hands where I do retarded [censored]
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#8
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Re: stat thing
[ QUOTE ]
heh, you and rzk seem to be the "immediately improving our winrate by a few tenths of BB/100 by spending only a half-hour" freaks around here... [/ QUOTE ] [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] |
#9
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Re: stat thing
[ QUOTE ]
I'm still just sifting through hands where I do retarded [censored] [/ QUOTE ] I've given up on eliminating retarded [censored] from my game. I just try to compensate in other ways. Seriously, though, this won't take very long and I think you will be surprised by the results (hint: you might want to break up the range I gave into subcategories). |
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