#17
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Re: 2 interesting $400 PLO8 hands
Ok, hand one is probably a push at this point because if you are going to play [censored] like that then you deserve what you get when you flop a 'monster'. Dave does not want preflop discussion here, but he probably deserves preflop berating, lol.
At first glance I thought hand 2 is an easy fold, and 2 dimes backs me up. Here's the possible worst case: http://twodimes.net/h/?z=3973247 pokenum -o8 ac 9c 4h 5h - kc kd qs jh - ah 2h 5c 6s -- 8c ks 3s Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 666 enumerated boards containing Ks 3s 8c cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV Ac 9c 5h 4h 28 52 614 0 96 371 9 0.117 Qs Kc Kd Jh 187 563 103 0 0 0 0 0.563 6s 5c Ah 2h 43 51 615 0 371 96 9 0.320 Here's something better: http://twodimes.net/h/?z=3973248 pokenum -o8 ac 9c 4h 5h - kc kd qs jh - ah 4d 3c 8s -- 8c ks 3s Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 666 enumerated boards containing Ks 3s 8c cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV Ac 9c 5h 4h 24 73 582 11 126 0 387 0.301 Qs Kc Kd Jh 148 579 87 0 0 0 0 0.546 8s 3c 4d Ah 2 3 652 11 0 48 387 0.153 And here's the likely best you can hope for based on the betting: http://twodimes.net/h/?z=3973250 pokenum -o8 ac 9c 4h 5h - kc kd qs jh - ah 3d 3c 8s -- 8c ks 3s Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 666 enumerated boards containing Ks 3s 8c cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV Ac 9c 5h 4h 87 88 578 0 521 0 9 0.463 Qs Kc Kd Jh 117 541 125 0 0 0 0 0.494 8s 3c 3d Ah 16 37 629 0 0 120 9 0.043 I'm not sure how often you can expect to see something like set over set with no reasonable low draws with this action. Even if you put BB on just a random A2 hand cuz he's short, what do you expect UTG to have that you beat? 2 pair? Ok, let's give him that: http://twodimes.net/h/?z=3973261 pokenum -o8 ac 9c 4h 5h - kc 8d qs jh - ah 2d 3c 8s -- 8c ks 3s Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 666 enumerated boards containing Ks 3s 8c cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV Ac 9c 5h 4h 52 91 575 0 158 355 0 0.191 Qs Kc 8d Jh 120 456 210 0 0 0 0 0.432 8s 3c 2d Ah 75 119 547 0 355 58 0 0.376 Now you could pull the shorty out of the equation when discussing the side pot with UTG, and if you think he sucks that hard then you're ok vs 2 pair w/no low obviously: http://twodimes.net/h/?z=3973274 pokenum -o8 ac 9c 4h 5h - kc 8d qs jh -- 8c ks 3s Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 820 enumerated boards containing Ks 3s 8c cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV Ac 9c 5h 4h 151 151 669 0 630 0 0 0.484 Qs Kc 8d Jh 178 669 151 0 0 0 0 0.516 Of course, OK means that you aren't a huge dog, just a tiny one. Either way, fold imo. |
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