Halloween WW - Costume Party (Game Thread)

[JennFox]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
*** THIS POST IS DIRECTED AT ANYONE BUT CLOWN OR JENN ***

Then isn't the best course of action to lynch OH, and have me or whoever the consensus 2nd most likely wolf be the backup lynch?

Right there are a bunch of possibilities if we make OH the leading wagon:
1) OH is the HH, lynch transfers onto 2nd most likely wolf (probably me -.-) = <font color="green">consensus wolf suspect lynched</font>
2) OH is the HH, however lynch does not transfer and we have a no lynch = <font color="red">worst outcome, but Nich is proved to be a liar and likely wolf</font>
3) OH is a wolf = <font color="green">we lynch a wolf yay!</font>

(Side note: There is a fourth possibility that I discount which is OH and nichp both being neutrals. I just think it's too unlikely for the game to play out this way if that were the case. Nichp having pushed a Pyramid lynch and OH claiming a village role early is not how neutrals would play. Also there are likely less neutrals than villagers/wolves so conditional probability makes this possibility very low.)

Making OH the leading wagon instead of me means we lynch me anyway some of the time, get a sure wolf in OH another part of the time, or at least expose Nich to be a very wolfy liar in the worst case.

I fail to see how this is worse than taking the line of just blindly lynching me.

[/ QUOTE ]


1 question only.

if nich were a wolf and you were a villager, then WHY WONT NICH VOTE FOR YOU?????????

[/ QUOTE ]

if oh is telling the truth and he is unlynchable and there will be no lynch, then lynching you is best.

if oh is telling the truth and he is pro-village, then sparing him a day and killing you, which as anti-dan already said, is far from a "blind kill", then we find out if YOU are telling the truth.

[dmk]

i'm about to go to bed, any other questions i should answer? if you think of others, just assume the answer is "unknown". otherwise i would have put that shiz in the rules yo

[fmxda]

[ QUOTE ]
1 question only.

if nich were a wolf and you were a villager, then WHY WONT NICH VOTE FOR YOU?????????

[/ QUOTE ]
I don't know, maybe because it'll make him look bad, but that doesn't seem like a great answer to me.

What I deduce from this is that nich is more likely to be a villager.

[dmk]

good night, sleep tight, etc

[0] antidan (can't vote)
[0] boiler voted for fmx
[0] bulletproof eskimo voted for mark
[0] chuckles
[0] clowntable voted for fmx
[0] dustin voted for fmx
[0] fcbl (can't vote)
<font color="red"> [5] fmx voted for our house </font>
[0] jennfox voted for fmx
[0] jgunnip voted for our house
[0] km
[2] mark
[1] nich voted for nich
[2] our house voted for fmx
[0] roundtower voted for mark
[0] skillayskill
[0] tarheeljks
[0] vr
[0] wdcbooks


cya tomorrow

[fmxda]

Jenn that post isn't directed at you, because I won't argue with someone whose mind I can't change

[JennFox]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
1 question only.

if nich were a wolf and you were a villager, then WHY WONT NICH VOTE FOR YOU?????????

[/ QUOTE ]
I don't know, maybe because it'll make him look bad, but that doesn't seem like a great answer to me.

What I deduce from this is that nich is more likely to be a villager.

[/ QUOTE ]

would it really look so bad considering all the pressure ive put on him, and all the other votes you have already accumulated?

[fmxda]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
1 question only.

if nich were a wolf and you were a villager, then WHY WONT NICH VOTE FOR YOU?????????

[/ QUOTE ]
I don't know, maybe because it'll make him look bad, but that doesn't seem like a great answer to me.

What I deduce from this is that nich is more likely to be a villager.

[/ QUOTE ]

would it really look so bad considering all the pressure ive put on him, and all the other votes you have already accumulated?

[/ QUOTE ]
What I deduce from this is that nich is more likely to be a villager.

[JennFox]

what would make nich more of a villager is voting for you..

[Bulletproof Monk]

HOW ABOUT WE JUST ALL LYNCH MARK K?

[fmxda]

Eskimo, since you're here. I'm wondering what your thoughts are on the question I posed to antidan.

Assume I am village, what changes about your read of jenn/clown and how do you best explain their behavior?