JJ overpair to board against semi lag player

[RockRattler]

[ QUOTE ]
i think u forgot to put qq, kk, aa in stove there.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't he has AA but here you go.

<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> Board: 5d 3c 2c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 53.018% 51.69% 01.33% 23540 604.50 { JdJh }
Hand 1: 46.982% 45.65% 01.33% 20791 604.50 { QQ+, TT-77, AcKc, AcQc, 7c6c, 6c5c }
</pre><hr />

[Stalrock]

thanks a lot.

[tony_montana]

A pot sized bet screams to me Axcc as if he's trying to make sure he is priced in to chase. A solid player isn't going to make that big a bet with a lower pp than our JJ imo. I also think he bets for value with QQ-AA.

[traz]

If I call preflop I'm probably looking to stack off here, so I'm not folding on the flop

[ikestoys]

lol @ folding to a flop bet.


flop is a pretty std call

[sh58]

if i am calling PF, i am felting this every time.

it is hard to say without reads about his 3betting tendancies, but i am pretty sure i am going broke in this spot

[sh58]

it looks to me like he has an ace in his hand. he is never doing this with AA imo, because he has a complete crusher. i believe he is pricing himself here with something like AK, maybe w/o suits

[RockRattler]

When this thread was up earlier today I advocated a flop raise. Now your all saying call.

I still feel that a lot of his range would be FD with an A and combo draws. Wouldn't we like just to get our money in now?

[sh58]

i'd get it in on the flop, yes

[mattak]

I think you have to include AKo and AQo in his range as well. He is going to cbet here %100 with what ever he is holding. However, the most important thing I need here is reads on his pot sized cbet. Is this value or does he want you to go away? I think that I call flop and c/f turn