NL25 set on drawy board

[MaltbyStu]

First orbit.

Could be a steal, 67 got lucky but I have to discount this here and I go for a c/r since I'm hoping he is decent and will c-bet. I think I could have raised slightly more but I did give him incorrect drawing odds.

Well he called and I guess I have to factor in 67 now and TJ just made it too.

Whats the best line here?





PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG ($22.40)
MP ($25)
Button ($6.80)
SB ($31.30)
Hero ($26.70)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG calls $0.25, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $1</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Hero calls $0.75, UTG folds.

Flop: ($2.35) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP bets $1.5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $4.5</font>, MP calls $3.

Turn: ($11.35) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)

[Abelardo]

seems you're seeing monsters? I don't think the average opponent is raising 67, JT perhaps but doubtful too, a lone 6 I don't think so... anyways you're ahead vs virtually anything else he could have

[MaltbyStu]

What range do you narrow him to, having called the flop c/r?

When you have narrowed his range, how do you approach the turn having c/r the flop?

[Abelardo]

I would think mostly overpairs if he's reasonable, sets too but that's just bad luck, also you can't cut out JT entirely and 67 would be quite strange, he might even have AK and doesn't want to fold.

I think you need to commit now, make a good sized bet and get the money in if you can since some cards will surely kill the action, he can call you with tons of overpairs you beat, if he beats you oh well you get the info at least

[Kasane]

Stop seeing villains range as defined by the flop, but rather as to what he would raise pf. What's his pf raising range?

67/TJ is really unlikely unless he's laggy. Overset too -- over pairs outnumber sets by 5-1. You felt this by betting, betting, then betting some more.

So, what's his pf raising range like from MP with a limper? No tight TAG is doing this with JT or 67.

[bsball8806]

I think its much more likely villain has overpair, JJ+, than a hand with a 6, a higher set, or J 10. I think I lead out here and call a push. Even J 10 gives us 10 outs, and it's possible he has AA or KK and donkcalls.