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  #1  
Old 11-12-2007, 05:07 AM
oakrdrzfan oakrdrzfan is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Sydney, Australia
Posts: 305
Default NL50: 2 Pair facing Turn Raise on Str8 Board

Villain has an AF of 0.2 over 100 hands. Is this a bet/fold on the turn with 2 pair? 87 just got there and KJ is already there.

Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

CO: $46
BTN: $37.05
Hero (SB): $70.45
BB: $31
UTG: $10.80
MP: $33.10

Pre-Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB)
UTG calls $0.50, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.25, BB checks

Flop: ($2) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $2</font>, 2 folds, BTN calls $2

Turn: ($6) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $4</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $8</font>, Hero ????
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  #2  
Old 11-12-2007, 10:50 AM
BlueBear BlueBear is offline
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Default Re: NL50: 2 Pair facing Turn Raise on Str8 Board

Fold against this particular villain. He's literally screaming massive strength. You do not have enough odds to call to fill the boat up.
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  #3  
Old 11-12-2007, 01:01 PM
Brimstead Brimstead is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 194
Default Re: NL50: 2 Pair facing Turn Raise on Str8 Board

4.5/1 odds on chasing the full house.... is this cheap enough? Villain would probably pay off a half pot river bet if he has the straight...
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  #4  
Old 11-12-2007, 01:35 PM
Chargers In 07 Chargers In 07 is offline
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Location: DERB of Micro/Small stakes
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Default Re: NL50: 2 Pair facing Turn Raise on Str8 Board

[ QUOTE ]

4.5/1 odds on chasing the full house.... is this cheap enough? Villain would probably pay off a half pot river bet if he has the straight..

[/ QUOTE ] math ftw? 10.5:1 to hit. So you're calling $4 to win $18 but need to win $40.50 to break even. So if you bet 1/2 pot on the river ($10) it is a truly horrendous call. I'd fold here.
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