intuition check

[milesdyson]

utg is a decent tight tag at like 25/16/2.5, sb is awful.

i think utg's range is KQ AQ AT and some flush draws (A8/A9) combos when he calls the flop. in other words i think he raises top pair jacks on the flop, caps AK/TT+ preflop, and doesn't peel loose on the flop with underpairs not closing the action.

i am fairly sure he will value bet the turn and river when checked to with AQ, Ac9c, and Ac8c (even this river card because he'll put me on KK/QQ)

given this is my turn/river play right?

Absolute Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $5/$10
5 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">UTG raises</font>, 2 folds, SB calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero 3-bets</font>, UTG calls, SB calls.

Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (9SB, 3 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, UTG calls, SB calls.

Turn: A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6BB, 3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">UTG bets</font>, SB calls, Hero calls.

River: T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (9BB, 3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">UTG bets</font>, SB folds, Hero calls.

Results:
Final pot: 11BB