Week 3 Early Lines

[CharlieDontSurf]

09/24 199 New York Jets 6 -105 OVER 34.5 -105
1:00 PM ET 200 Buffalo Bills -6 -103 UNDER 34.5 -105

09/24 201 Cincinnati Bengals 3 -107 OVER 43.5 -105
1:00 PM ET 202 Pittsburgh Steelers -3 -101 UNDER 43.5 -105

09/24 203 Jacksonville Jaguars 9.5 -112 OVER 47 -105
1:00 PM ET 204 Indianapolis Colts -9.5 104 UNDER 47 -105

09/24 205 Tennessee Titans 10.5 -103 OVER 35.5 -105
1:00 PM ET 206 Miami Dolphins -10.5 -105 UNDER 35.5 -105

09/24 207 Washington Redskins -4.5 -101 OVER 38.5 -105
1:00 PM ET 208 Houston Texans 4.5 -107 UNDER 38.5 -105

09/24 209 Chicago Bears -3 -103 OVER 33 -112
1:00 PM ET 210 Minnesota Vikings 3 -105 UNDER 33 102

09/24 211 Carolina Panthers -3 -105 OVER 34 -105
1:00 PM ET 212 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3 -103 UNDER 34 -105

09/24 213 Green Bay Packers 6 -101 OVER 38 -108
1:00 PM ET 214 Detroit Lions -6 -107 UNDER 38 -102

09/24 215 Baltimore Ravens -6.5 101 OVER 33 -105
4:05 PM ET 216 Cleveland Browns 6.5 -109 UNDER 33 -105

09/24 217 St Louis Rams 4.5 -101 OVER 45 102
4:15 PM ET 218 Arizona Cardinals -4.5 -107 UNDER 45 -112

09/24 219 New York Giants 3.5 102 OVER 45 -105
4:15 PM ET 220 Seattle Seahawks -3.5 -110 UNDER 45 -105

09/24 221 Philadelphia Eagles -6 -105 OVER 42 -101
4:15 PM ET 222 San Francisco 49ers 6 -103 UNDER 42 -101

09/24 223 Denver Broncos 6.5 -101 OVER 39 -101
8:15 PM ET 224 New England Patriots -6.5 -107

Thoughts?.....

[Chickenfly69]

I like:
Chicago -3
Carolina -3
Green Bay +6
Philly -6
ATL -3 MNF

[Morphling29]

I like:

ATl
BAL
ATL
JAGS
ATL
CIN
ATL
CHI
and did I metion ATL

[MacGuyV]

Right now I like the Vikings, Browns, & Giants. That's what 3+1 is for though.

[bills217]

I am in love w/ NYJ +6.

Bills have zero offense. They had 171 total yards this week, and got 10 of their 16 points off a long pass interference penalty and a blocked punt. 7 of their 17 in week 1 came on a first-play defensive TD.

Jauron's play-calling is hilarious, although as bad as Losman is I don't blame him. Tony Siragusa might as well be the Bills' QB as little as they're asking of Losman. Quick hits, screen passes, handoffs, and that's really about it. I can imagine Dick Jauron spends many sleepless nights trying to figure out how he's gonna get through this season without asking Losman to make a single decision. His default 3rd-and-long play is a deep chuck ("Hey, if it gets picked, it's probably as good as a punt..."), or, if he's protecting a lead, he just hands off to McGahee for the 83rd straight play.

Despite their stellar play against Miami, it also warrants mentioning that the Bills are starting FOUR rookies on defense. And I have a feeling Culpepper and the Fins' O-Line are gonna be making a lot of D's look good this year.

The Bills could easily win a 10-7 ugly-fest at home, but I don't see them covering the 6. Game should be a -3 IMO. I'll be all over the Jets +6, Jets ML, the Under, and the Bills team under.

[West]

I've never really done over/unders, but it's hard not to like the under in Carolina/Tampa Bay if Steve Smith were to not play again.

[MacGuyV]

I guess I'm somehwere in the middle between you and the dillusional fans on the Bills board who think we're suddenly an above average team. The interference call wasn't just some cheap gift; it was a highly probable TD without blatant contact. Plus they had a TD taken away on a nittish offensive PI call. A lot of QB's have been worse than JP in the first two weeks, although granted, he is still a legitimate question mark until he shows he can beat the blitz consistently. Defensively, the young secondary is the real deal. The run defense is still a huge concern for me though; I thought Miami's playcalling was hideous and Ronnie Brown could've gotten 150 yards with enough carries. Fortunately the Jets don't appear to be a very good rushing team. Overall the 6 spot is a bit higher than the ~4 I anticipated, but it doesn't seem too far out of whack to me.

[bills217]

[ QUOTE ]
A lot of QB's have been worse than JP in the first two weeks, although granted, he is still a legitimate question mark until he shows he can beat the blitz consistently.

[/ QUOTE ]

He's had the advantage of holding a lead and not needing to actually do anything for all but the last 2 drives against NE, which combined to yield -1 total yards, this coming after he took a safety to blow the game.

When the Bills finally get behind, they're gonna look like the Raiders IMO. Sack, Sack, INT, rinse, repeat. If the Jets get an early TD, they'll win easily. Bills down 2 possessions = game over (this goes for the entire JP Losman Era).

[MacGuyV]

True, he has had the benefit of playing with the lead. True, he looked bad in NE in the clutch. He's also played two good pass-rushing teams on the road. I don't think the game is over if they fall behind 7-0 to the Jets at home.

[NajdorfDefense]

Looking at CHI, zona, Sea, PHL.