21.5 BB/100 over 25K hands. How crazy is this?

[Speedlimits]

25k hands is not even close enough to a reasonable sample size to determine your "true winrate." That being said, winrate is an inherently flawed statistic.

[Chump Change]

ffr,

If you also know how to shoot a fish with a gun i'd say you're a renaissance man and total package.

[MotorBoatingSOB]

[ QUOTE ]
ahnuld, I didn't follow what you wrote. Can you please explain what those numbers mean?

I was actually showing 10.75 BB/100 on my PT, but was told PT calculates the "BB" as big bet not big blind. So I clicked the "Treat 'BB' for NL/PL as Big Blind Amount" in the PT preferences and now it shows 21.5 BB/100.

THANKS.

[/ QUOTE ]

so it's 10.75 ptbb/100? this is not that crazy, especially over only 25k hands.

[ffr]

I'm not asking wheter or not this is my tru winrate. I understand that this type of winrate can't be sustainable over a larger sample size.

I was just trying to see what can be safely assumed from the results so far. If a player is at 21.5 bb/100 over 25K, can it ALL be based on a CRAZY good run of cards? That seems unlikely as well, right?

I was just trying to see what people here felt this type of stat meant for future expectations (if anything can be gathered from it, really).

[Majik]

[ QUOTE ]
ahnuld, I didn't follow what you wrote. Can you please explain what those numbers mean?

[/ QUOTE ]

He said that that running at 21 pokertrackers per big blind at 0.5 is the same as 4.2 pokertrackers per big blind at 1000nl

[Daddy Warbucks]

[ QUOTE ]

I was just trying to see what can be safely assumed from the results so far. If a player is at 21.5 bb/100 over 25K, can it ALL be based on a CRAZY good run of cards? That seems unlikely as well, right?


[/ QUOTE ]

You are most likely a losing player.

[ahnuld]

10.5 pt/bb is sustainable for the best players at 1/2 but they always move up and dont stay there. Im pretty sure I know a lot of guys who could do it 6 tabling over 100k hands. Doesnt mean OP's winrate is sustainable, but its possible

[ffr]

Okay, I give up on this thread...lol. I can why it looks like I was just trying to brag, but that wasn't my intention. I was really curious as to what these results so far might transate into future expectations.

[ffr]

I played 1 or two tables at the most. The swings were crazy so I wanted to try switching to full ring games and multitable anywhere from usually 4-6 at a time. The swings are less and the winrate at each table has drastically dropped, but the overall profit seems similar (slightly less actually). I was assuming the 21.5 bb/100 is out of the question to sustain so I should stick with multitabling full ring games. It seems I got my answer, thanks.

[h_ven]

[ ]sustainable