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  #21  
Old 11-21-2007, 04:23 PM
Xanthro Xanthro is offline
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Default Re: NL $25 - Resteal from the blind gone wrong?

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Don't like pre-flop.

As played, easy flop bet.

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This is only easy if we know he puts 1/4 of his stack in with a lot of hands.
We would also need to know that he lays down 88 etc. here.

I just get the feeling you get looked up a lot here.

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We don't know much about villain, but we do know he plays 25NL short stacked. So right there he plays scared.

We also know villain put 25% of his stack in preflop, after a limp, a raise, a reraise, and villain is out of position, plus villain just came to table.

Most of what we know about villain is he or she likely sucks. I see people make this play at 25NL all the time, they limp a small pocket pair or suited garbage, or even unsuited garbage for a huge percentage of their stack, then fold to a bet on an A high flop.

Yes, you'll get called here sometimes, but you are taking it down most of the time.

Any pair less than AA likely folds here given the action.
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  #22  
Old 11-21-2007, 04:26 PM
EPiPeN11 EPiPeN11 is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
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Default Re: NL $25 - Resteal from the blind gone wrong?

When he calls out of the BB he has to have a huge hand or is just a moron. To be honest I don't like a cont bet here, becaue even if he has KK/QQ he is probably calling the flop and seeing what happens on the turn and you shouldn't ever double barrell in this situation. And if he has AK/AA he obv is calling/re-raising too.

Your best play is either c/f or c/r. Check/folding is obv the safest, but if you c/r he should laydon KK/QQespecially since your line looks super strong. KK/QQ are more probable than AA/AK in this spot for him to have. You can def rep AK/AA by doing this too.

EDIT: Just noticed the stack sizes, I would never check/raise him with him being so freakin short. This is a 100 percent check/fold.
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  #23  
Old 11-21-2007, 04:28 PM
Sounded Simple Sounded Simple is offline
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Default Re: NL $25 - Resteal from the blind gone wrong?

I woundnt be sure that they play scared, perhaps they play to gamble?
LOL - your pretty much right that they probably suck given this action!

Not sure that you can always get pairs to fold when there is only <1 PSB left.

However thinking it through perhaps there are enough combos of broadways that missed to make a shove +EV.
Come to think of it there are a lot more combos of crap than there are pairs that he could have here and we dont even need to fold him out 50% of the time.

OK I change my mind Arrrrrr in LOL.
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