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  #1  
Old 11-28-2007, 09:32 PM
tweak tweak is offline
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Posts: 48
Default Push ok?

Villain is 14/10

Noble Poker 0.25/0.50, hand converted by the iPoker Converter at Talking-Poker

saw flop | <font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

Button <font color="#C00000">tweak ($53.75)</font>
SB TTR25091907 ($108.04)
BB <font color="#C00000">thestroke888 ($46.35)</font>
UTG EnTaroAdun ($68.80)
UTG+1 noiq3443312 ($70.80)

Preflop: tweak is on the Button with Ac Kc
2 folds, tweak raises to 2.00, 1 fold, thestroke888 raises to 5.50, tweak moves all-in for 51.75
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  #2  
Old 11-28-2007, 09:52 PM
mickb70 mickb70 is offline
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Default Re: Push ok?

Whats your hurry? You've got position. Hand plays well HU. Hand has a lot of ways to hit.
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  #3  
Old 11-28-2007, 09:54 PM
tweak tweak is offline
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Default Re: Push ok?

I'd be happy enough taking down the flop here and now. The only hands that can call me and have me dominated are AA and KK. QQ could fold, and even if calls I'm 50/50.

I hear your points though.
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  #4  
Old 11-28-2007, 10:00 PM
eastern motors eastern motors is offline
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Default Re: Push ok?

I would probably make it like $17 and fold to a push. This guy is pretty tight. If he calls, I would c-bet any flop.
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  #5  
Old 11-28-2007, 10:09 PM
mickb70 mickb70 is offline
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Default Re: Push ok?

Lets put villain on re-raise range of JJ+,AQs+,AKo. And say he calls with KK+,AKs. Doesn't seem unreasonable.

Hand 0: 67.918% 53.29% 14.63% 32849568 9016902.00 { KK+, AKs }
Hand 1: 32.082% 17.45% 14.63% 10759572 9016902.00 { AKs }

You are folding out 63% of his range and have 32% equity the other 37% of the time.

You are paying about $41 to take down 3.50 now or buying about $30 worth of equity when he calls. So its about +$2 when he folds and about -$3.5.
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  #6  
Old 11-28-2007, 10:55 PM
tweak tweak is offline
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Default Re: Push ok?

[ QUOTE ]
Lets put villain on re-raise range of JJ+,AQs+,AKo. And say he calls with KK+,AKs. Doesn't seem unreasonable.

Hand 0: 67.918% 53.29% 14.63% 32849568 9016902.00 { KK+, AKs }
Hand 1: 32.082% 17.45% 14.63% 10759572 9016902.00 { AKs }

You are folding out 63% of his range and have 32% equity the other 37% of the time.

You are paying about $41 to take down 3.50 now or buying about $30 worth of equity when he calls. So its about +$2 when he folds and about -$3.5.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm a little confused by all this! Are you saying my move was bad? Thanks!
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  #7  
Old 11-28-2007, 11:00 PM
NeverScurred NeverScurred is offline
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Default Re: Push ok?

Your push was a ridiculous overbet. If you're going to 4-bet, make it a reasonable amount (another poster suggested $17, which seems fine). I prefer to just flat call his 3bet, though, because you have position and are ahead of his 3-betting range. You're not ahead of the range that calls a shove.
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  #8  
Old 11-28-2007, 11:09 PM
mickb70 mickb70 is offline
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Default Re: Push ok?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Lets put villain on re-raise range of JJ+,AQs+,AKo. And say he calls with KK+,AKs. Doesn't seem unreasonable.

Hand 0: 67.918% 53.29% 14.63% 32849568 9016902.00 { KK+, AKs }
Hand 1: 32.082% 17.45% 14.63% 10759572 9016902.00 { AKs }

You are folding out 63% of his range and have 32% equity the other 37% of the time.

You are paying about $41 to take down 3.50 now or buying about $30 worth of equity when he calls. So its about +$2 when he folds and about -$3.5.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm a little confused by all this! Are you saying my move was bad? Thanks!

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm basically saying that if you accept the ranges I assigned you lose about $1.5 so in isolation its -ev and therefore bad. But even if you could argue for a range that is +ev for a shove it still would be a worse line than a smaller 3-bet or even a flat call and take a flop.
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